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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Prognostic significance of a systemic inflammatory response in patients undergoing multimodality therapy for advanced
Yasuhiro Inoue1, Takashi Iwata, Yoshinaga Okugawa
1Division of Reparative Medicine, Department of Gastrointestinal and Pediatric Surgery, Institute of Life Sciences, Mie University Graduate School of Medicine, Tsu, Japan.
Objectives:
The inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) is associated with outcome in a variety of cancers. This study investigated whether a modified GPS (mGPS) could predict survival in patients undergoing multimodality therapy for advanced colorectal cancer (CRC).
Methods:
We enrolled 245 patients with advanced CRC who received chemotherapy. The mGPS was recorded prior to first-line chemotherapy and to cytoreductive therapy including secondary surgery and/or radiofrequency ablation. The prognostic significance of the mGPS was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier, univariate, and multivariate analyses.
Results:
In patients who received chemotherapy alone (n = 163), the mGPS prior to chemotherapy was an independent prognostic indicator of survival [odds ratio (OR) 1.858; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.213-2.846; p = 0.0044]. In patients who also underwent cytoreductive therapy (n = 82), the mGPS decreased after chemotherapy in 22 patients (27%) and increased in 5 (6%). In these patients, the mGPS prior to cytoreductive therapy was an independent prognostic indicator of survival (OR 3.412; 95% CI 1.198-9.720; p = 0.0216), but the mGPS prior to chemotherapy was not.
Conclusions:
The mGPS is an independent prognostic indicator of survival in patients undergoing multimodality therapy for advanced CRC, if recorded at a relevant time point.
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