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Updated: May 16, 2026

Development of an Individual-Tree Basal Area Increment Model using a Linear Mixed-Effects Approach
Published on: July 3, 2020
Employing a Monte Carlo algorithm in expectation maximization restricted maximum likelihood estimation of the linear
K Matilainen1, E A Mäntysaari, M H Lidauer
1MTT Agrifood Research Finland, Biotechnology and Food Research, Biometrical Genetics, Jokioinen, Finland. kaarina.matilainen@mtt.fi
Monte Carlo Expectation Maximization Restricted Maximum Likelihood (MC EM REML) offers an efficient method for estimating variance components in complex genetic models. This approach significantly reduces computational demands compared to traditional analytical methods.
Area of Science:
- Quantitative Genetics
- Statistical Genomics
- Animal Breeding
Background:
- Estimating variance components in multiple-trait and random regression models requires solving numerous equations.
- Traditional methods involving matrix inversion or decomposition become computationally intensive with increasing model complexity.
- Need for efficient algorithms to handle large-scale genetic analyses.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose and evaluate a Monte Carlo Expectation Maximization Restricted Maximum Likelihood (MC EM REML) method for variance component estimation.
- To compare the performance of MC EM REML against analytical EM REML for multiple-trait linear mixed models.
- To develop a robust convergence criterion for MC EM REML.
Main Methods:
- Implementation of MC EM REML using full-model sampling for prediction error variances.
- Comparison of MC EM REML and analytical EM REML using simulated and field data.
- Development of a convergence criterion accounting for sampling variation.
Main Results:
- MC EM REML results closely matched analytical EM REML results on field data, even with minimal MC samples.
- Standard error estimates were influenced by the calculation formula and MC sample size.
- MC EM REML demonstrated superior performance in computing time and memory usage compared to analytical EM REML for field data.
Conclusions:
- MC EM REML provides a computationally efficient and memory-sparing alternative for estimating variance components in complex genetic models.
- The proposed convergence criterion effectively monitors MC EM REML algorithm convergence.
- MC EM REML is a viable and advantageous method for large-scale genetic data analysis.
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