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Assessment of ABCD² scale in patients with transient ischaemic attack or stroke
Kavian Ghandehari1, Fahimeh Ahmadi, Saeed Ebrahimzadeh
1Department of Neurology, Ghaem Hospital, Ahmadabad Street, Mashhad, Iran. Ghandeharik@mums.ac.ir
Insights
The ABCD2 score effectively predicts short-term recurrent stroke in minor ischaemic stroke (MIS) patients, but shows weak predictive value for transient ischaemic attack (TIA) patients. This highlights a critical difference in the score's utility for these related cerebrovascular conditions.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Stroke risk prediction scores are crucial for managing patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA) or minor ischaemic stroke (MIS).
- Stratifying risk aids in timely and appropriate patient management to prevent recurrent events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive accuracy of the ABCD2 scoring system for recurrent cerebrovascular events.
- To assess the score's efficacy in patients with TIA versus MIS within short-term follow-up periods.
Main Methods:
- A prospective cohort study included 511 patients with TIA or MIS presenting within 24 hours.
- Recurrent events (stroke, TIA, vascular death) were tracked at 3 days and 90 days post-event.
- The ABCD2 score's predictive accuracy was quantified using the area under the curve (AUC) via c-statistics.
Main Results:
- The ABCD2 score demonstrated weak predictive value for recurrent stroke in TIA patients (AUC ≈ 0.59).
- Conversely, the score showed high predictive value for recurrent stroke in MIS patients (AUC ≈ 0.72).
- Within 3 months, 23.2% experienced stroke, 19.6% TIA, and 2.2% vascular death.
Conclusions:
- The ABCD2 score is highly predictive of short-term recurrent stroke in patients with minor ischaemic stroke (MIS).
- The score's predictive value is significantly lower for patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA), despite its original design for TIA patients.
- Clinical utility of ABCD2 score differs between TIA and MIS, necessitating careful application.
Background And Purpose:
Stroke risk prediction scores have been designed to stratify risk of recurrent cerebrovascular events in patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA) or minor ischaemic stroke (MIS).
Material And Methods:
Consecutive patients with TIA or MIS referring to Ghaem Hospital, Mashhad presenting within 24 hours from the onset of symptoms were recruited to the prospective cohort study between 2010 and 2011. MIS was defined as an ischaemic stroke with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score < 4. The end-point of the study was a new ischaemic cerebrovascular event or vascular death at 90 days and, additionally, at 3 days after the index TIA or MIS. The decision to admit and of method of treatment in each case was left to the discretion of the stroke neurologist. The predictive accuracy of the ABCD2 scoring system for recurrent stroke or TIA was quantified by the area under the curve (AUC), using the c-statistics.
Results:
The study included 393 patients with TIA (238 males, 155 females) and 118 patients with MIS (77 males, 41 females). Among 511 patients with minor ischaemic events, 117 strokes (23.2%), 99 TIAs (19.6%), and 11 vascular deaths (2.2%) occurred within 3 months after the index event. The ABCD2 score had a weak predictive value for 3-month and 3-day recurrent stroke in patients with TIA (AUC = 0.599 and 0.591, respectively), but a high predictive value for 3-month and 3-day recurrent stroke in patients with MIS (AUC = 0.727 and 0.728, respectively).
Conclusion:
The ABCD2 score is highly predictive for short-term recurrent stroke in patients with MIS but not in patients with TIA, although it was originally designed for patients with TIA.
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