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APACHE II scoring to predict outcome in post-cardiac arrest.
Michael W Donnino1, Justin D Salciccioli, Andre Dejam
1Department of Emergency Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA 02215, USA. mdonnino@bidmc.harvard.edu
The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score shows poor early prediction for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest mortality. However, it becomes a modest predictor of mortality and neurologic outcomes for in-hospital cardiac arrest and later for all cardiac arrest patients.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Medical Informatics
Background:
- Cardiac arrest (CA) management has advanced, yet mortality remains high.
- Few validated scoring systems exist to assess illness severity in post-CA patients.
- The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score's utility in this population is under investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effectiveness of the APACHE II score in predicting outcomes for patients after cardiac arrest.
- To assess the APACHE II score's performance at different time points post-cardiac arrest.
Main Methods:
- A prospective observational study included 228 adult post-cardiac arrest patients at a tertiary care center.
- In-hospital mortality and neurologic outcome were primary and secondary outcome variables, respectively.
- Logistic regression modeling was used to analyze APACHE II scores for outcome prediction.
Main Results:
- The cohort had a median age of 70 years, with 32% females. Median downtime was 15 minutes and initial lactate was 5.9 mmol/L.
- Overall in-hospital mortality was 55% (125/228), with 57% of deaths occurring before 72 hours.
- The area under the curve (AUC) for APACHE II score discrimination improved from 0.62 at 0 hours to 0.86 at 72 hours post-arrest.
Conclusions:
- APACHE II score is a poor predictor at time zero for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients.
- For in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) at time zero, and for both IHCA and OHCA at 24 hours and beyond, APACHE II score demonstrated modest predictive ability for mortality and neurologic morbidity.
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