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Cardiovascular disease burden in acute public hospitals in Ireland: estimates for 2021 and 2031

V O Alonge1, T Grant, A Drummond

  • 1School of Public Health Physiotherapy and Population Science, University College Dublin, Woodview House, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland. victor.alonge@ucdconnect.ie

Irish Journal of Medical Science
|November 27, 2012
PubMed

Insights

Ireland

Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Health Services Research
  • Demography

Background:

  • Ireland's population is aging, increasing the demand for healthcare services.
  • Existing acute hospital systems face significant strain.
  • The demographic shift necessitates proactive planning for future healthcare needs.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To forecast the future burden of circulatory diseases and cardiovascular procedures on Irish acute public hospitals.
  • To utilize Hospital In-Patient Enquiry (HIPE) data and population projections for accurate estimations.
  • To project healthcare demands for 2021 and 2031, focusing on the aging demographic.

Main Methods:

  • Applied age-specific rates from 2006 HIPE data to projected 2021 and 2031 populations.
  • Utilized 2006 census figures for population data.
  • Calculated estimated case numbers for future years based on demographic trends.

Main Results:

  • Discharges for circulatory diseases projected to rise by 51% (2021) and 97% (2031).
  • For individuals aged 65+, circulatory disease cases expected to increase by 65% (2021) and 133% (2031).
  • Cardiovascular procedures projected to increase by 47% (2021) and 82% (2031), with 65+ cases up by 63% (2021) and 120% (2031).

Conclusions:

  • The projected increases in case numbers directly correlate with Ireland's aging population.
  • Acute public hospitals face a substantial increase in care burden and associated costs.
  • Urgent strategic planning is required to manage the escalating healthcare demands.
Abstract

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