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Published on: January 28, 2020
Very long-term mortality after ischemic stroke: predictors of cardiovascular death
1Medical Division, Department of Neurology, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway. ole.morten.ronning@ahus.no
Insights
Key stroke predictors for long-term cardiovascular death include stroke severity, hemorrhagic stroke, diabetes, male gender, ischemic heart disease, and age. These factors significantly increase mortality risk post-stroke.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Stroke is a leading cause of long-term disability and mortality.
- Identifying predictors of long-term cardiovascular death after stroke is crucial for risk stratification and prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify significant predictors associated with long-term mortality and cardiovascular death following an acute stroke.
- To analyze risk factors contributing to cardiovascular mortality in a post-stroke cohort.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 550 acute stroke patients was followed for 12 years.
- Mortality data was collected via linkage with national population and cause of death registers.
- Cardiovascular deaths were identified using ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes.
Main Results:
- Stroke severity, hemorrhagic stroke, diabetes, male gender, ischemic heart disease, age, and right hemispheric stroke were significant predictors of cardiovascular mortality.
- The proportion of cardiovascular deaths in the cohort was 71% over the 12-year follow-up period.
- Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified these factors with significant hazard ratios.
Conclusions:
- Age, male gender, stroke severity, hemorrhagic stroke, diabetes, and ischemic heart disease are significant predictors of increased long-term cardiovascular mortality after stroke.
- Atrial fibrillation, antihypertensive treatment, smoking, and living alone were not identified as risk factors for late cardiovascular deaths in this cohort.
- These findings aid in understanding long-term risks and informing clinical management strategies for stroke survivors.
Background:
The purpose of this article is to find possible predictors associated with long-term mortality and long-term cardiovascular death after stroke.
Methods:
A cohort of 550 patients with acute stroke admitted to a single hospital within 24 h of a stroke were recruited consecutively. Patients were followed for 12 years or until death. Information on death was collected through linkage with the National Population Register of Statistics Norway, an official register containing name, date of birth, address, and date of death, and the National Register of Cause of Death. Cardiovascular deaths were defined as ICD 9 codes 390 to 448 and ICD 10 codes I00 to I99.
Results:
The proportion of cardiovascular deaths was 71%. In multivariate Cox regression analysis of cardiovascular mortality, stroke severity (HR 2.78; 95% CI 2.13-3.57), hemorrhagic stroke (2.0; 1.43-2.78), diabetes (1.85; 1.37-2.50), male gender (1.69; 1.31-2.17), ischemic heart disease (1.56; 1.16-2.13), age (1.06; 1.04-1.08), and right hemispheric stroke (1.49; 1.16-1.89) were significant predictors.
Discussion:
This study shows that age, male gender, stroke severity, hemorrhagic stroke, diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and right hemispheric stroke are predictors associated with increased risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality. Neither atrial fibrillation, antihypertensive treatment on admission, smoking, or living alone was risk factors for late cardiovascular deaths.
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