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A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2013
William J Sutherland1, Sarah Bardsley, Mick Clout
1Department of Zoology, Cambridge University, Cambridge, UK. wjs32@hermes.cam.ac.uk
Trends in Ecology & Evolution
|December 11, 2012
Summary
This annual horizon-scanning exercise identified 15 emerging issues that may impact biological diversity conservation. These topics, including novel technologies and resource extraction, require proactive assessment for conservation strategies.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Conservation Biology
- Emerging Technologies
Background:
- Annual horizon-scanning exercises are crucial for anticipating future challenges.
- Identifying emerging issues is vital for proactive conservation planning.
- Biological diversity faces increasing threats from novel human activities.
Framework:
- An iterative and transferable methodology was employed.
- A multidisciplinary team of experts conducted the assessment.
- The process involved horizon scanners, researchers, practitioners, and journalists.
Implementation:
- Fifteen distinct issues were identified in the fourth annual exercise.
- Topics span diverse fields including biotechnology and energy.
- Examples include commercial antimicrobial peptide use and undersea oil production.
Implications:
- Findings inform future conservation policy and research priorities.
- Early identification of threats allows for mitigation strategies.
- Understanding these emerging issues is critical for safeguarding biodiversity.
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Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
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As the human population continues to grow and use resources, we must be mindful of our planet’s natural limits. Sustainable development provides a pathway to maintain and improve human life now while also ensuring that future generations will have the resources that they need. The long-term success of sustainability efforts rests on understanding the interplay between human actions and ecological systems.

