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The influence of probability format on elicited certainty equivalents
Charles N Noussair1, Bodo Vogt
1Department of Economics, Tilburg University, Tilburg, The Netherlands. c.n.noussair@uvt.nl
Abstract:
We compare six different formats for the presentation of probabilities, in terms of the certainty equivalents that they elicit from human participants, and the probability-weighting parameters that participants' decisions imply. We find substantial differences among formats, including a visual analogue of the ratio bias. The results indicate that experimental results concerning decision making under risk can be greatly affected by the presentation format employed.
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