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Published on: February 28, 2012
Atrial fibrillation and risk of stroke in dialysis patients
James B Wetmore1, Edward F Ellerbeck, Jonathan D Mahnken
1Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, University of Kansas School of Medicine, Kansas City, KS, USA. jwetmore@kumc.edu
Insights
Chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) modestly increases ischemic stroke risk in dialysis patients. Hemorrhagic stroke risk is significantly higher in African Americans, Hispanics, and other non-Caucasian groups.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
- Stroke Medicine
Background:
- Dialysis patients frequently experience stroke and chronic atrial fibrillation (AF).
- The precise incidence of new strokes and the impact of AF in this population remain unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the incidence of new strokes in dialysis patients.
- To determine the association between chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke risk in this cohort.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Medicare claims data for dually eligible incident dialysis patients.
- Chronic AF was treated as a time-dependent covariate.
- Cox proportional hazards models analyzed time to stroke events.
Main Results:
- Of 56,734 patients, 9.9% developed chronic AF.
- Stroke incidence was 22.8 ischemic and 5.0 hemorrhagic per 1000 patient-years.
- Chronic AF was linked to increased ischemic stroke risk (HR 1.26), but not hemorrhagic stroke. Race/ethnicity strongly predicted hemorrhagic stroke.
Conclusions:
- Chronic AF shows a significant, albeit modest, association with ischemic stroke in dialysis patients.
- Race/ethnicity is a strong determinant of hemorrhagic stroke risk.
- The proportion of hemorrhagic strokes is notably higher in dialysis patients compared to the general population.
Purpose:
Both stroke and chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) are common in dialysis patients, but uncertainty exists in the incidence of new strokes and the risk conferred by chronic AF.
Methods:
A cohort of dually eligible (Medicare and Medicaid) incident dialysis patients was constructed. Medicare claims were used to determine the onset of chronic AF, which was specifically treated as a time-dependent covariate. Cox proportional hazards models were used to model time to stroke.
Results:
Of 56,734 patients studied, 5629 (9.9%) developed chronic AF. There were 22.8 ischemic and 5.0 hemorrhagic strokes per 1000 patient-years, a ratio of approximately 4.5:1. Chronic AF was independently associated with time to ischemic (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26; 99% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.49; P = .0005), but not hemorrhagic, stroke. Race was strongly associated with hemorrhagic stroke: African Americans (HR, 1.46; 99% CI, 1.08-1.96), Hispanics (HR, 1.64; 99% CI, 1.16-2.31), and others (HR, 1.76; 99% CI, 1.16-2.78) had higher rates than did Caucasians (all P < .001).
Conclusions:
Chronic AF has a significant, but modest, association with ischemic stroke. Race/ethnicity is strongly associated with hemorrhagic strokes. The proportion of strokes owing to hemorrhage is much higher than in the general population.
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