[Risk assessment and regionalization of maize drought disasters in Sichuan Basin, Southeast China]

Based on the information of maize yield, phonological period, and related weather data, four models (those of climatic drought risk, crop drought risk, yield loss risk, and drought resistant capability) applicable for the assessment of maize drought risk in Sichuan Basin and the corresponding index systems were established, and a comprehensive model for assessing the maize drought disasters in the Basin was constructed, with the comprehensive index for the risk regionalization of the maize drought disasters determined. The values of the indices for assessing the maize drought risk in the Basin differed obviously with different regions, but showed similarity in some areas. The Sichuan Basin was divided into three regions, with high, medium and low maize drought risk, respectively. The region with high risk was mainly in the most areas of northwest basin, the middle basin, and parts of the south basin of Sichuan, the region with medium risk was in the north basin and some parts of the south basin, and the region with low risk was in the northeast and southwest basin, and parts of the southeast basin.