[Esophageal varices: is bleeding predictable?]

Hemorrhage of oesophageal varices is still a life-threatening complication of portal hypertension. Parameters to identify patients being on risk to bleed are on demand for prophylactic therapy. Recent studies showed that bleeders present with larger varices, red color sign of the variceal wall and higher intravariceal hydrostatic pressure than patients without previous hemorrhage. Advanced liver disease (Child C) is an additional risk factor. The clinical value of the parameters appears to be decreased by a significant overlap of the findings obtained in bleeders and non-bleeders. However, patients with small varices, low variceal pressure (less than 12 mmHg) and fair condition are considered to be not on risk to bleed from varices. An additional clinical value of the parameters is provided by the potency to define patients more accurately for future clinical studies.