Heart rate variability and first cardiovascular event in populations without known cardiovascular disease:

Stefanie Hillebrand1, Karin B Gast, Renée de Mutsert

  • 1Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Albinusdreef 2, Leiden, The Netherlands.

Insights

Low heart rate variability (HRV) increases the risk of a first cardiovascular event by 32-45% in individuals without prior cardiovascular disease (CVD). Higher HRV, specifically SDNN, is linked to a reduced risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Preventive Medicine
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Heart rate variability (HRV) is a known predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with established CVD.
  • The association between HRV and the risk of a first cardiovascular event in the general population is less understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To conduct a meta-analysis investigating the relationship between HRV and incident cardiovascular events in individuals without pre-existing CVD.
  • To quantify the risk associated with different levels of HRV in predicting first-time cardiovascular events.

Main Methods:

  • A comprehensive meta-analysis and dose-response meta-regression were performed.
  • Searched major scientific databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane, ScienceDirect, CINAHL) up to December 2011.
  • Included eight studies with 21,988 participants, analyzing standard deviation of the normalized N-N interval (SDNN), low-frequency (LF), and high-frequency (HF) components of HRV.

Main Results:

  • Low HRV, specifically low SDNN, was associated with a 32-45% increased risk of a first cardiovascular event (RR 1.35 for lowest vs. highest SDNN).
  • Low LF HRV also showed an increased risk (RR 1.45), while HF HRV approached significance (RR 1.32).
  • Meta-regression indicated that the 10th percentile of SDNN predicted a 50% higher risk of incident CVD compared to the 50th percentile.

Conclusions:

  • Reduced heart rate variability is a significant risk factor for first-time cardiovascular events in individuals without known CVD.
  • A 1% increase in SDNN is associated with an approximately 1% reduction in the risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD.
  • HRV metrics, particularly SDNN, can aid in identifying individuals at higher risk for primary cardiovascular events.
Abstract

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