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Updated: May 14, 2026

An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
Cascading failures in bi-partite graphs: model for systemic risk propagation.
Xuqing Huang1, Irena Vodenska, Shlomo Havlin
1Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215, USA.
Financial network interconnectedness can cause cascading failures. A new bi-partite banking model effectively predicts bank failures, identifying commercial real estate as a key risk factor.
Area of Science:
- Financial economics
- Network science
- Computational finance
Background:
- Increasingly interconnected financial entities amplify systemic risk.
- Financial network shocks can trigger widespread cascading failures.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a model for assessing systemic risk in financial networks.
- To identify key drivers of bank failures during financial crises.
Main Methods:
- Creation of a bi-partite banking network model (banks and assets).
- Development of a cascading failure model to simulate risk propagation.
- Empirical testing using 2007 US commercial bank balance sheet data.
Main Results:
- The model accurately identified a significant portion of actual bank failures.
- Commercial real estate assets were identified as primary contributors to bank failures between 2008-2011.
- Over 350 US commercial banks failed during this period.
Conclusions:
- The proposed model is a valuable tool for systemic risk stress testing.
- Understanding asset-specific risks, particularly commercial real estate, is crucial for financial stability.
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