U-shape association between hemoglobin A1c and late mortality in patients with heart failure after cardiac surgery

Milo Engoren1, Thomas A Schwann, Cynthia Arslanian-Engoren

  • 1Department of Anesthesiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. engorenm@med.umich.edu

Insights

In cardiac surgery patients with heart failure, the lowest mortality risk was linked to Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels between 5.8% and 6.2%. Higher or lower HbA1c levels increased the risk of death in this group.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Endocrinology
  • Surgical Outcomes

Background:

  • Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) indicates glycemic control; higher levels correlate with increased mortality risk.
  • A U-shaped association between HbA1c and mortality is observed in heart failure patients, with lower risk at elevated HbA1c (>7%).
  • Cardiac surgery is a common intervention for heart failure symptoms.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the relationship between preoperative HbA1c levels and late mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
  • To compare this association in patients with and without New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III or IV heart failure.

Main Methods:

  • Patients were stratified into quartiles based on preoperative HbA1c levels.
  • Mortality data was collected and analyzed using chi-square tests and Cox modeling.
  • Confounder variables were adjusted for in the analysis.

Main Results:

  • Patients with heart failure had higher mortality (21%) compared to those without (9%).
  • In patients without heart failure, HbA1c ≤5.7% was associated with the lowest mortality risk.
  • In patients with heart failure, a U-shaped curve was observed; HbA1c 5.8%-6.2% showed the lowest mortality, while levels ≤5.7% and ≥7.2% significantly increased death risk.

Conclusions:

  • The optimal HbA1c range for lowest late mortality in cardiac surgery patients with heart failure is 5.8%-6.2%.
  • Hemoglobin A1c levels outside this range (≤5.7% or ≥7.2%) are associated with increased mortality in heart failure patients undergoing cardiac surgery.