Carotid plaque hemorrhage on magnetic resonance imaging strongly predicts recurrent ischemia and stroke
Akram A Hosseini1, Neghal Kandiyil, Shane T S Macsweeney
1Division of Radiological and Imaging Sciences, University of Nottingham, Queen's Medical Campus, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Insights
Magnetic resonance imaging-defined carotid plaque hemorrhage (MRIPH) strongly predicts recurrent ischemic events and stroke in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis. Patients without MRIPH have a very low stroke risk, questioning the need for carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in this group.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Radiology
- Vascular Surgery
Background:
- Carotid artery stenosis (CAS) poses a significant stroke risk.
- Improved patient selection for carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is needed.
- The role of plaque characteristics in predicting cerebrovascular events requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive value of magnetic resonance imaging-defined carotid plaque hemorrhage (MRIPH) for recurrent ipsilateral cerebral ischemic events and stroke.
- To assess the utility of MRIPH in symptomatic patients with ≥ 50% carotid artery stenosis.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 179 symptomatic patients with ≥ 50% carotid stenosis.
- Carotid MRI to identify MRIPH (plaque signal intensity >150% of adjacent muscle).
- Clinical follow-up, event-free survival analysis (Kaplan-Meier, Cox regression), and meta-analysis of published data.
Main Results:
- MRIPH was present in 63.7% of patients.
- Patients with MRIPH accounted for 92% of recurrent ipsilateral events and 96% of future strokes.
- MRIPH was a strong predictor of recurrent ischemic events (HR=12.0) and stroke (HR=35.0).
- Meta-analysis confirmed MRIPH association with recurrent events (OR=12.2).
Conclusions:
- MRIPH independently and strongly predicts recurrent ischemic events and stroke in symptomatic carotid stenosis.
- The low stroke risk in patients without MRIPH challenges the current risk-benefit assessment for CEA in this subgroup.
Objective:
There is a recognized need to improve selection of patients with carotid artery stenosis for carotid endarterectomy (CEA). We assessed the value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-defined carotid plaque hemorrhage (MRIPH) to predict recurrent ipsilateral cerebral ischemic events, and stroke in symptomatic carotid stenosis.
Methods:
One hundred seventy-nine symptomatic patients with ≥ 50% stenosis were prospectively recruited, underwent carotid MRI, and were clinically followed up until CEA, death, or ischemic event. MRIPH was diagnosed if the plaque signal intensity was >150% that of the adjacent muscle. Event-free survival analysis was done using Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox regression models controlling for known vascular risk factors. We also undertook a meta-analysis of reported data on MRIPH and recurrent events.
Results:
One hundred fourteen patients (63.7%) showed MRIPH, suffering 92% (57 of 62) of all recurrent ipsilateral events and all but 1 (25 of 26) future strokes. Patients without MRIPH had an estimated annual absolute stroke risk of only 0.6%. Cox multivariate regression analysis proved MRIPH as a strong predictor of recurrent ischemic events (hazard ratio [HR] = 12.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.8-30.1, p < 0.001) and stroke alone (HR = 35.0, 95% CI = 4.7-261.6, p = 0.001). Meta-analysis of published data confirmed this association between MRIPH and recurrent cerebral ischemic events in symptomatic carotid artery stenosis (odds ratio = 12.2, 95% CI = 5.5-27.1, p < 0.00001).
Interpretation:
MRIPH independently and strongly predicts recurrent ipsilateral ischemic events, and stroke alone, in symptomatic ≥ 50% carotid artery stenosis. The very low stroke risk in patients without MRIPH puts into question current risk-benefit assessment for CEA in this subgroup.
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