Influenza and RSV make a modest contribution to invasive pneumococcal disease incidence in the UK

Emily J Nicoli1, Caroline L Trotter, Katherine M E Turner

  • 1School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Canynge Hall, 39 Whatley Road, Bristol BS8 2PS, UK. E.Nicoli@bristol.ac.uk

Abstract

Insights

Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) seasonality is linked to viral respiratory infections like influenza and RSV. Preventing these viral infections could reduce IPD cases by over 10%.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and viral respiratory infections exhibit common seasonal patterns.
  • The precise impact of seasonality on the relationship between IPD and specific viral pathogens remains unclear.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between IPD incidence and seasonal viral respiratory infections, specifically influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).
  • To quantify the proportion of IPD cases attributable to influenza and RSV, considering seasonal factors.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of weekly surveillance data for IPD, influenza, and RSV in England and Wales (1996-2009).
  • Utilized ambient temperature and sunshine hours as indicators of seasonality.
  • Employed correlation coefficients and regression models (additive and multiplicative) to assess associations.

Main Results:

  • Influenza was linked to 6-7.5% of IPD cases, while RSV was associated with 3-4%.
  • Correlation coefficients indicated stronger associations between IPD and viral infections than regression models.
  • Seasonality, particularly temperature, appeared to influence the observed relationships.

Conclusions:

  • A notable percentage of IPD cases may be attributed to influenza and RSV, especially when accounting for seasonal variations.
  • Combined, these viral infections could account for over 10% of IPD cases.
  • Preventive strategies targeting viral respiratory infections may offer a complementary approach to reducing the burden of invasive pneumococcal infections.

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