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Trajectory Data Analyses for Pedestrian Space-time Activity Study
Published on: February 25, 2013
From superspreaders to disease hotspots: linking transmission across hosts and space
Sara H Paull1, Sejin Song, Katherine M McClure
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, 334 UCB, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.
Abstract:
Since the identification and imprisonment of "Typhoid Mary," a woman who infected at least 47 people with typhoid in the early 1900s, epidemiologists have recognized that 'superspreading' hosts play a key role in disease epidemics. Such variability in transmission also exists among species within a community (amplification hosts) and among habitat patches across a landscape (disease 'hotspots'), underscoring the need for an integrative framework for studying transmission heterogeneity. Here, we synthesize literature on human, plant, and animal diseases to evaluate the relative contributions of host, pathogen, and environmental factors in driving transmission heterogeneity across hosts and space. We show that host and spatial heterogeneity are closely linked and that quantitatively assessing the contribution of infectious individuals, species, or environmental patches to overall transmission can aid management strategies. We conclude by posing hypotheses regarding how pathogen natural history influences transmission heterogeneity and highlight emerging frontiers in the study of transmission heterogeneity.
Insights
Disease transmission varies greatly between hosts and locations. Understanding these 'superspreading' events and 'hotspots' is crucial for effective disease management across human, plant, and animal populations.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Disease Ecology
- Infectious Disease Transmission
Background:
- The concept of superspreading, exemplified by 'Typhoid Mary,' highlights significant variability in disease transmission.
- Transmission heterogeneity is observed across hosts (e.g., amplification hosts), species, and spatial locations (disease hotspots).
- Existing research necessitates an integrated framework to study transmission heterogeneity comprehensively.
Purpose of the Study:
- To synthesize existing literature on human, plant, and animal diseases to evaluate factors driving transmission heterogeneity.
- To assess the relative contributions of host, pathogen, and environmental factors to transmission variability across hosts and space.
- To explore the link between host and spatial heterogeneity in disease dynamics.
Main Methods:
- Literature synthesis across human, plant, and animal infectious diseases.
- Evaluation of host, pathogen, and environmental factors influencing transmission.
- Analysis of spatial and host-related heterogeneity in disease spread.
Main Results:
- Host and spatial heterogeneity in disease transmission are closely interconnected.
- Quantitative assessment of contributions from infectious individuals, species, or environmental patches can inform management.
- Pathogen natural history significantly influences transmission heterogeneity patterns.
Conclusions:
- An integrated framework is essential for understanding and managing transmission heterogeneity.
- Identifying and quantifying key drivers of heterogeneity aids in developing targeted disease control strategies.
- Further research into pathogen natural history's role in transmission heterogeneity is warranted, opening new study frontiers.
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