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Quantifying Yeast Chronological Life Span by Outgrowth of Aged Cells
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Published on: May 6, 2009

Population aging and endogenous economic growth.

Klaus Prettner1

  • 1Center for Population and Development Studies, Harvard University, 9 Bow Street, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA ; Institute for International Economics, University of Göttingen, Platz der Göttinger Sieben 3, 37073 Göttingen, Germany.

Journal of Population Economics
|April 12, 2013
PubMed
Summary

Population aging positively impacts economic growth through increased longevity, outweighing fertility declines in endogenous growth models. This research explores how demographic shifts influence long-run economic growth perspectives.

Keywords:
Demographic changeLong-run economic growthTechnological progress

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Area of Science:

  • Demographics
  • Economic Growth Theory

Background:

  • Population aging is a significant global trend.
  • Understanding its economic implications is crucial for long-term policy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the effects of population aging on long-run economic growth.
  • To differentiate impacts within endogenous and semi-endogenous growth models.

Main Methods:

  • Utilizing a theoretical framework incorporating endogenous and semi-endogenous growth models.
  • Analyzing the distinct impacts of longevity and fertility changes.

Main Results:

  • Increased longevity positively affects per capita output growth.
  • Decreased fertility negatively affects per capita output growth.
  • In endogenous models, longevity's positive effect surpasses fertility's negative effect, fostering growth.

Conclusions:

  • Population aging promotes long-run growth within the endogenous growth framework.
  • The effect of population aging in semi-endogenous models is contingent on relative fertility and mortality changes.