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Published on: January 8, 2020
Mendelian randomization and estimation of treatment efficacy for chronic diseases
C M Schooling1, G Freeman, B J Cowling
1School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China. mschooli@hunter.cuny.edu
Abstract:
Prevention and treatment of common noncommunicable chronic diseases have been revolutionized by the development of therapies. Recently, several randomized controlled trials (RCTs) designed to assess the efficacy of new therapies targeted at well-established risk factors for noncommunicable chronic diseases have reported lower benefits than expected. Subsequent observational analysis of the same trial data has not clarified these unexpected findings. Mendelian randomization (MR) provides an approach for estimating causal effects from observational or trial data and thus provides information complementary to that from an RCT. An RCT assesses the efficacy of a therapy but does not usually confirm the underlying mechanistic pathway. In contrast, an MR study does not assess the efficacy of a therapy but rather assesses causal effects on an underlying mechanistic pathway. We suggest that incorporating an MR study into an RCT at the design stage would improve etiologic understanding of current therapies and enhance the search for therapies for the significant amount of noncommunicable chronic diseases that resists current treatments.
Insights
Mendelian randomization (MR) complements randomized controlled trials (RCTs) by clarifying causal pathways for chronic diseases. Integrating MR into RCT design can improve understanding of therapy mechanisms and identify treatments for resistant conditions.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Genetics
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- Therapies have revolutionized noncommunicable chronic disease (NCDC) management.
- Recent randomized controlled trials (RCTs) show unexpected lower benefits for NCDC therapies.
- Observational analyses of RCT data have not resolved these discrepancies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose Mendelian randomization (MR) as a complementary approach to RCTs for understanding NCDC therapies.
- To enhance etiological understanding of current therapies and identify treatments for NCDCs resistant to current treatments.
Main Methods:
- Utilizes Mendelian randomization (MR) to estimate causal effects from observational or trial data.
- Compares the mechanistic insights gained from MR with the efficacy assessments from RCTs.
- Suggests integrating MR studies into the design phase of RCTs.
Main Results:
- RCTs assess therapy efficacy but often lack mechanistic pathway confirmation.
- MR studies assess causal effects on mechanistic pathways, not direct therapy efficacy.
- Combining RCTs and MR provides complementary information for improved etiological understanding.
Conclusions:
- Integrating MR into RCT design can enhance understanding of therapy mechanisms.
- This integrated approach can improve the search for novel therapies for treatment-resistant NCDCs.
- MR offers a valuable tool for dissecting causal relationships in chronic disease research.
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