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Seasonal migration as a substitute for, or precursor to, permanent migration
1Arizona State University.
Research on Aging
|June 1, 1990
Summary
Seasonal migration to recreational areas can lead to permanent relocation. For winter visitors in Phoenix, strong ties to their seasonal home and life stage influence decisions about permanent migration.
Area of Science:
- Sociology
- Geography
- Demography
Background:
- Cyclical migration, particularly seasonal movement to amenity areas, is a significant phenomenon in the United States.
- Understanding the factors influencing permanent relocation from seasonal residences is crucial for demographic and social studies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the conditions under which seasonal migration acts as a precursor to permanent migration.
- To identify determinants of permanent migration expectations among winter visitors in Phoenix, Arizona.
Main Methods:
- Survey data from 1,001 winter visitors in Phoenix recreational vehicle (RV) parks were analyzed.
- Discriminant analysis was employed to test a model of migration expectations.
Main Results:
- Place ties to the seasonal residence and an individual's position in the life cycle were found to be significant predictors of permanent migration expectations.
- Demographic characteristics and commitment to a mobile lifestyle did not significantly condition these expectations.
Conclusions:
- Strong connections to seasonal locations and life stage significantly influence the decision to transition from seasonal to permanent residency.
- This research provides insights into the migration patterns of seasonal populations, particularly in popular retirement and recreational destinations.