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Published on: January 28, 2020
Classical and novel biomarkers for cardiovascular risk prediction in the United States
1Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55454, USA. folso001@umn.edu
Insights
Classical risk factors effectively predict cardiovascular disease. Novel markers offer limited improvement, but some, like hemoglobin A1c and C-reactive protein, are recommended for specific patient groups to enhance risk assessment.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction models are crucial for primary prevention.
- Traditional risk factors from cohort studies form the basis of current models.
- Evaluating novel risk markers is an ongoing area of research.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review cardiovascular risk prediction in the US.
- To assess the utility of novel risk factors in improving CVD risk prediction.
- To summarize recommendations for incorporating novel markers into clinical practice.
Main Methods:
- Review of existing literature on cardiovascular risk prediction models.
- Analysis of studies evaluating novel risk markers.
- Summary of conclusions from a US consensus panel on risk prediction.
Main Results:
- Classical risk factors remain powerful predictors of CVD.
- Many novel risk markers show association with CVD but offer marginal improvement over traditional factors.
- A US consensus panel identified specific novel markers for clinical use.
Conclusions:
- Traditional risk factors are foundational for cardiovascular risk prediction.
- Novel markers like hemoglobin A1c, microalbuminuria, C-reactive protein, and others may enhance risk stratification in select populations.
- Clinical measurement of certain novel markers is deemed reasonable for intermediate-risk patients.
Abstract:
Cardiovascular risk prediction models based on classical risk factors identified in epidemiologic cohort studies are useful in primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in individuals. This article briefly reviews aspects of cardiovascular risk prediction in the United States and efforts to evaluate novel risk factors. Even though many novel risk markers have been found to be associated with cardiovascular disease, few appear to improve risk prediction beyond the powerful, classical risk factors. A recent US consensus panel concluded that clinical measurement of certain novel markers for risk prediction was reasonable, namely, hemoglobin A1c (in all adults), microalbuminuria (in patients with hypertension or diabetes), and C-reactive protein, lipoprotein-associated phospholipase, coronary calcium, carotid intima-media thickness, and ankle/brachial index (in patients deemed to be at intermediate cardiovascular risk, based on traditional risk factors).
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