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Understanding the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination in children: methodological choices and seasonal
Anthony T Newall1, Juan Pablo Dehollain, Prudence Creighton
1School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia. a.newall@unsw.edu.au
Insights
Universal childhood influenza vaccination is cost-effective if herd immunity is achieved. Methodological choices significantly impact economic evaluations, and seasonal variability in influenza transmission must be considered.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Health Economics
Background:
- Universal childhood influenza vaccination is increasingly recommended globally.
- This study addresses the growing consideration of childhood flu vaccination programs in developed nations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the cost-effectiveness of childhood influenza vaccination.
- To identify key factors influencing the economic viability of pediatric flu immunization.
Main Methods:
- Utilized an age-stratified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model.
- Examined the cost-effectiveness of vaccination in Australian schoolchildren as a case study.
Main Results:
- Methodological choices, such as including herd immunity and specific costs/benefits, critically affect cost-effectiveness outcomes.
- Including herd protection indicated the vaccination program was likely cost-effective.
- Seasonal variability in influenza transmission can lead to counter-intuitive results, impacting control ease and benefit realization.
Conclusions:
- Universal childhood influenza vaccination demonstrates cost-effectiveness potential, contingent on achieving substantial herd protection.
- Decision-makers must understand the influence of seasonal variability and methodological choices in economic evaluations of influenza vaccination programs.
Background:
The universal vaccination of children for influenza has recently been recommended in the UK and is being considered in other developed countries.
Objectives:
The aim of this study was to explore the potential costs and benefits of childhood influenza vaccination to gain a better understanding of the key drivers of cost-effectiveness.
Methods:
As our case study we examined the cost-effectiveness of vaccination in Australian schoolchildren using an age-stratified Susceptible Exposed Infectious Recovered model.
Results:
The results of this study highlight the critical role that methodological choices play in determining the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination. These choices include decisions about the structure of the model (including/excluding herd immunity) and what costs and benefits to include in the analysis. In scenarios where herd protection was included we estimated that the program was likely to be cost-effective. The study also illustrates the importance of the inherent seasonal variability of influenza, which can produce counter-intuitive results, with low transmission seasons being easier to control by vaccination but resulting in fewer benefits.
Conclusions:
Universal childhood influenza vaccination is likely to be cost-effective if a substantial herd protection effect can be achieved by the program. However, it is important that decision makers understand the role of seasonal variability and the impact of alternative methodological choices in economic evaluations of influenza vaccination.
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