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Hospital antibiotic use and its relationship to age-adjusted comorbidity and alcohol-based hand rub consumption
M A Aldeyab1, J C McElnay1, M G Scott2
1Clinical and Practice Research Group, School of Pharmacy, Queen's University Belfast (QUB), Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.
Abstract:
The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of age-adjusted comorbidity and alcohol-based hand rub on monthly hospital antibiotic usage, retrospectively. A multivariate autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was built to relate the monthly use of all antibiotics grouped together with age-adjusted comorbidity and alcohol-based hand rub over a 5-year period (April 2005-March 2010). The results showed that monthly antibiotic use was positively related to the age-adjusted comorbidity index (concomitant effect, coefficient 1·103, P = 0·0002), and negatively related to the use of alcohol-based hand rub (2-month delay, coefficient -0·069, P = 0·0533). Alcohol-based hand rub is considered a modifiable factor and as such can be identified as a target for quality improvement programmes. Time-series analysis may provide a suitable methodology for identifying possible predictive variables that explain antibiotic use in healthcare settings. Future research should examine the relationship between infection control practices and antibiotic use, identify other infection control predictive factors for hospital antibiotic use, and evaluate the impact of enhancing different infection control practices on antibiotic use in a healthcare setting.
Insights
Hospital antibiotic use increases with patient comorbidity but decreases with alcohol-based hand rub use. Alcohol-based hand rub is a modifiable factor for quality improvement programs targeting antibiotic stewardship.
Area of Science:
- Healthcare epidemiology
- Infection control
- Health services research
Background:
- Hospital antibiotic usage is a critical factor in antimicrobial resistance.
- Understanding drivers of antibiotic consumption is essential for effective stewardship.
- Age-adjusted comorbidity and infection control practices like hand hygiene influence antibiotic prescribing.
Purpose of the Study:
- To retrospectively evaluate the impact of age-adjusted comorbidity and alcohol-based hand rub use on monthly hospital antibiotic consumption.
- To identify modifiable factors for quality improvement in antibiotic stewardship programs.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a multivariate autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.
- Analyzed monthly data over a 5-year period (April 2005-March 2010).
- Related total monthly antibiotic use to age-adjusted comorbidity index and alcohol-based hand rub usage.
Main Results:
- Monthly antibiotic use showed a significant positive association with the age-adjusted comorbidity index (coefficient 1.103, P = 0.0002).
- A significant negative association was observed between monthly antibiotic use and alcohol-based hand rub usage, with a 2-month delay (coefficient -0.069, P = 0.0533).
Conclusions:
- Alcohol-based hand rub use is a modifiable factor that can be targeted for quality improvement initiatives to reduce hospital antibiotic use.
- Time-series analysis is a valuable methodology for identifying predictive variables of antibiotic use in healthcare settings.
- Further research should explore other infection control practices and their impact on antibiotic consumption.
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