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Published on: June 28, 2019
Predictive variables for hard cardiac events and coronary revascularization in patients with normal left ventricular
Guillermo Romero-Farina1, Jaume Candell-Riera, Santiago Aguadé-Bruix
1Cardiology Department, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Institut de Recerca, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain. guirom@adinet.com.uy
Insights
Older age, diabetes, and left bundle branch block predict cardiac events in patients with normal SPECT scans. Known coronary artery disease or a positive stress test increase the need for revascularization.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Nuclear Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
Background:
- Assessing risk in patients with normal stress-rest gated SPECT is crucial.
- Identifying predictors for hard cardiac events (HE) and coronary revascularization (CR) is essential for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the impact of clinical, electrocardiographic, and stress testing variables on predicting HE and CR.
- To identify independent predictors of HE and CR in patients with normal gated SPECT findings.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 2,004 patients with normal myocardial perfusion and LVEF >50% on gated SPECT.
- Follow-up for hard cardiac events (cardiovascular death or acute myocardial infarction) and coronary revascularization.
- Univariate and independent predictor analysis of clinical and stress testing variables.
Main Results:
- Independent predictors of HE included age ≥65 years, insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM), and left bundle branch block (LBBB).
- Independent predictors of CR included known coronary artery disease (CAD) and a positive stress test.
- Low event rates observed: 1.6% for HE and 2.5% for CR over 4.3 years.
Conclusions:
- Age, IDDM, and LBBB are independent predictors of hard cardiac events in patients with normal SPECT.
- Known CAD and positive stress tests significantly increase the likelihood of coronary revascularization.
- Gated SPECT findings of normal perfusion and LVEF do not eliminate long-term cardiac event risk.
Background:
The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of clinical, electrocardiographic and stress testing variables in predicting hard cardiac events (HE) and coronary revascularization (CR) in patients with normal stress-rest gated SPECT.
Materials And Methods:
Included in the study were 2,004 patients (63.5 ± 12.5 years, 41.6% men) with normal myocardial perfusion and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >50% on gated SPECT who were followed for HE (cardiovascular death or acute myocardial infarction) and CR.
Results:
During a follow-up of 4.3 ± 2.4 years, 33 patients (1.6 %; 0.4%/year) had HE and 50 patients (2.5%; 0.6%/year) underwent CR. In a univariate analysis, age ≥65 years, insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM), left bundle branch block (LBBB), and pharmacological stress were associated with HE. Independent predictors of HE were age ≥65 years (p < 0.001; HR 6.9), IDDM (p = 0.014; HR 3.4), and LBBB (p = 0.002; HR 4.6). In the univariate analysis, male gender, LVEF, known coronary artery disease (CAD), LBBB, and a positive stress test were associated with CR. Independent predictors of CR were known CAD (p = 0.016; HR 2.1), and a positive stress test (p = 0.006; HR 2.3).
Conclusion:
Age ≥65 years, IDDM, and LBBB are HE-independent predictors in patients with normal myocardial perfusion and normal LVEF on gated SPECT. The presence of known CAD or a positive stress test significantly increases the probability of CR during follow-up.
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