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Risk factors of short-term stroke recurrence in patients with minor ischemic cerebrovascular events
Kavian Ghandehari1, Mohammad Reza Khajedaluei, Zahra Yazdankhah
1Professor, Cerebrovascular Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
Insights
Recurrent ischemic events after transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor ischemic stroke (MIS) are significant concerns. Crescendo TIAs and multiple TIAs predict short-term stroke risk, while diabetes predicts long-term recurrence.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiovascular Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Assessing the risk of recurrent ischemic events in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) and minor ischemic stroke (MIS) is crucial for clinical practice.
- Early identification of high-risk patients can guide timely interventions and improve outcomes.
- Understanding predictors of recurrence aids in risk stratification and personalized treatment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictors of recurrent ischemic events within 3 and 90 days in patients presenting with TIA or MIS.
- To identify key factors associated with early and late stroke recurrence.
- To inform clinical decision-making regarding risk assessment and management.
Main Methods:
- A prospective cohort study enrolled 511 patients with TIA or MIS within 24 hours of symptom onset.
- Diagnosis was confirmed by a stroke neurologist, with MIS defined as NIHSS < 4.
- Univariate and multivariate analyses examined associations between 20 potential factors and recurrent ischemic events at 3 and 90 days.
Main Results:
- Stroke occurred in 23.2%, TIA in 19.6%, and vascular death in 2.2% of patients within 90 days.
- Crescendo TIAs (OR=5.12) and multiple TIAs (OR=3.98) significantly predicted stroke risk within 3 days (univariate analysis).
- Diabetes was independently associated with 3-month stroke recurrence (OR=2.65), while index stroke patients had lower 3-day recurrence risk than index TIA patients (OR=0.115).
Conclusions:
- Multiple and crescendo TIAs are significant predictors of short-term stroke recurrence in patients with minor ischemic events.
- Diabetes mellitus emerges as an independent risk factor for long-term stroke recurrence.
- These findings underscore the importance of prompt evaluation and risk stratification for patients experiencing TIA or MIS.
Background:
Assessing the risk of recurrent ischemic events in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) and minor ischemic stroke (MIS) is of a great importance in clinical practice.
Methods:
Consecutive patients with TIA or MIS who were visited in Ghaem Hospital, (Mashhad, Iran) were enrolled in a prospective cohort study during 2010 to 2011. Diagnosis of TIA or MIS was accomplished by a stroke neurologist. Only those who presented within 24 hours from the onset of symptoms were recruited. MIS was considered as an ischemic stroke with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) < 4. The endpoint of the study was a new ischemic cerebrovascular event or vascular death in 90 days and additionally in 3 days. The decision to admit and type of treatment in each case was left to the discretion of the stroke neurologist. The association between 20 potential factors with recurrent ischemic events in 3 and 90 days was investigated using univariate and multivariate analysis (MVA).
Results:
393 TIA patients (238 males and 155 females) and 118 MIS patients (77 males and 41 females) were enrolled in the study. Stroke occurred in 117 (23.2%) patients, TIA in 99 (19.6%), and there was 11 (2.2%) vascular deaths within 3 months in the total 511 patients with minor ischemic events. Crescendo TIAs and multiple TIAs were associated with greater risk of stroke in 3 days in a univariate analysis (OR = 5.12, P < 0.001) and (OR = 3.98, P = 0.003), respectively. Patients with index stroke had 11.5% lower risk of recurrent stroke in 3 days than patients with index TIA in multivariate analysis (OR = 0.115, P = 0.039). Diabetes was independently associated with 3 months stroke recurrence in the patients with minor ischemic events (OR = 2.65, P = 0.039).
Conclusion:
Multiple and crescendo TIAs are the main predictors of stroke recurrence, derived from the univariate analysis of the patients with minor ischemic events.
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