Serum Phosphate Predicts Early Mortality among Underweight Adults Starting ART in Zambia: A Novel Context for

John R Koethe1, Meridith Blevins, Christopher K Nyirenda

  • 1Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Plot 1275 Lubuto Road, P.O. Box 34681, Lusaka 10101, Zambia ; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, A2200-MCN, 1161 21st Avenue South, Nashville, TN 37232-2582, USA ; Vanderbilt Institute for Global Health, 2525 West End Avenue, Suite 750, Nashville, TN 37203, USA.

Insights

Low phosphate levels before starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) predict early mortality in undernourished HIV patients. This finding suggests a potential link to refeeding syndrome, highlighting the need for further metabolic research.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • HIV/AIDS Research
  • Clinical Medicine

Background:

  • Low body mass index (BMI) at antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation is linked to early mortality in HIV patients.
  • The underlying causes of this mortality risk are not fully understood.
  • Serum phosphate, a key cellular metabolism intermediate, is primarily stored in skeletal muscle.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the hypothesis that low pretreatment serum phosphate predicts mortality within the first 12 weeks of ART.
  • To examine the association between baseline phosphate levels and early mortality in HIV-infected adults initiating ART.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective study of 352 HIV-infected adults initiating ART in Lusaka, Zambia.
  • Measured baseline serum phosphate levels and adjusted for established mortality predictors (sex, age, CD4(+) lymphocyte count).
  • Estimated the odds of death for each 0.1 mmol/L decrease in baseline phosphate.

Main Results:

  • Lower pretreatment serum phosphate was significantly associated with increased early mortality (OR 1.24 per 0.1 mmol/L decrement, P = 0.01) in participants with BMI <18.5 kg/m(2).
  • No similar association was observed in participants with BMI ≥18.5 kg/m(2) (OR 0.96, P = 0.74).
  • Among 145 participants with low BMI, 28 (19%) died within 12 weeks.

Conclusions:

  • Low pretreatment serum phosphate may predict early ART mortality in undernourished individuals.
  • This association could represent a variant of the refeeding syndrome.
  • Further research into cellular metabolism in this population is warranted.

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