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Serum Phosphate Predicts Early Mortality among Underweight Adults Starting ART in Zambia: A Novel Context for
John R Koethe1, Meridith Blevins, Christopher K Nyirenda
1Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Plot 1275 Lubuto Road, P.O. Box 34681, Lusaka 10101, Zambia ; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, A2200-MCN, 1161 21st Avenue South, Nashville, TN 37232-2582, USA ; Vanderbilt Institute for Global Health, 2525 West End Avenue, Suite 750, Nashville, TN 37203, USA.
Insights
Low phosphate levels before starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) predict early mortality in undernourished HIV patients. This finding suggests a potential link to refeeding syndrome, highlighting the need for further metabolic research.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- HIV/AIDS Research
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Low body mass index (BMI) at antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation is linked to early mortality in HIV patients.
- The underlying causes of this mortality risk are not fully understood.
- Serum phosphate, a key cellular metabolism intermediate, is primarily stored in skeletal muscle.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the hypothesis that low pretreatment serum phosphate predicts mortality within the first 12 weeks of ART.
- To examine the association between baseline phosphate levels and early mortality in HIV-infected adults initiating ART.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 352 HIV-infected adults initiating ART in Lusaka, Zambia.
- Measured baseline serum phosphate levels and adjusted for established mortality predictors (sex, age, CD4(+) lymphocyte count).
- Estimated the odds of death for each 0.1 mmol/L decrease in baseline phosphate.
Main Results:
- Lower pretreatment serum phosphate was significantly associated with increased early mortality (OR 1.24 per 0.1 mmol/L decrement, P = 0.01) in participants with BMI <18.5 kg/m(2).
- No similar association was observed in participants with BMI ≥18.5 kg/m(2) (OR 0.96, P = 0.74).
- Among 145 participants with low BMI, 28 (19%) died within 12 weeks.
Conclusions:
- Low pretreatment serum phosphate may predict early ART mortality in undernourished individuals.
- This association could represent a variant of the refeeding syndrome.
- Further research into cellular metabolism in this population is warranted.
Abstract:
Background. Low body mass index (BMI) at antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation is associated with early mortality, but the etiology is not well understood. We hypothesized that low pretreatment serum phosphate, a critical cellular metabolism intermediate primarily stored in skeletal muscle, may predict mortality within the first 12 weeks of ART. Methods. We prospectively studied 352 HIV-infected adults initiating ART in Lusaka, Zambia to estimate the odds of death for each 0.1 mmol/L decrease in baseline phosphate after adjusting for established predictors of mortality. Results. The distribution of phosphate values was similar across BMI categories (median value 1.2 mmol/L). Among the 145 participants with BMI <18.5 kg/m(2), 28 (19%) died within 12 weeks. Lower pretreatment serum phosphate was associated with increased mortality (odds ratio (OR) 1.24 per 0.1 mmol/L decrement, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.47; P = 0.01) after adjusting for sex, age, and CD4(+) lymphocyte count. A similar relationship was not observed among participants with BMI ≥18.5 kg/m(2) (OR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.76 to 1.21; P = 0.74). Conclusions. The association of low pretreatment serum phosphate level and early ART mortality among undernourished individuals may represent a variant of the refeeding syndrome. Further studies of cellular metabolism in this population are needed.
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