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Measuring progress toward the Millennium Development Goals and the missing millions.

Roy A Carr-Hill1

  • 1Institute of Education, University of London, London, UK. roycarhill@yahoo.com

World Health & Population
|May 30, 2013
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Household surveys miss millions of the poorest people, hindering accurate Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) progress assessment. This impacts global poverty measurement and development goal validity.

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Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Development Economics
  • Survey Methodology

Background:

  • The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) target date of 2015 is approaching, with limited discussion on the validity of progress indicators.
  • Household surveys are commonly used to assess development progress but have significant limitations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the validity of household surveys as a method for measuring progress towards the Millennium Development Goals.
  • To identify populations systematically excluded or under-represented by household survey methodologies.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of typical household survey sampling frames and methodologies.
  • Identification of population subgroups excluded by design or in practice.

Main Results:

  • Household surveys exclude homeless, institutionalized, and mobile/nomadic populations by design.
  • Surveys under-represent individuals in non-traditional households, urban slums, and insecure areas.
  • An estimated 300-500 million of the world's poorest people are missed by household surveys.

Conclusions:

  • Household surveys are inappropriate for assessing the progress of the "poorest of the poor."
  • Current MDG progress assessments may be significantly flawed due to sampling biases.
  • Alternative or supplementary data collection methods are needed to capture the most vulnerable populations.