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On linear birth-and-death processes in a random environment
Nicolas Bacaër1, Abdelkarim Ed-Darraz
1IRD and University Paris 6, UMI209-UMMISCO, Bondy, France, nicolas.bacaer@ird.fr.
Abstract:
We study the probability of extinction for single-type and multi-type continuous-time linear birth-and-death processes in a finite Markovian environment. The probability of extinction is equal to 1 almost surely if and only if the basic reproduction number R(0) is ≤ 1, the key point being to identify a suitable definition of R(0) for such a result to hold.
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