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Association between hematocrit in late adolescence and subsequent myocardial infarction in Swedish men
Fredrik Toss1, Anna Nordström, Peter Nordström
1Department of Surgical and Perioperative Sciences, Sports Medicine, Sweden; Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Rehabilitation Medicine, Sweden; Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Geriatric Medicine, Sweden.
Insights
High hematocrit levels in young men predict future myocardial infarction risk. This finding suggests hematocrit may assist in early cardiovascular risk assessment for adolescents.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hematology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Hematocrit is a known cardiovascular risk predictor in older adults.
- The predictive value of hematocrit in younger populations remains unclear.
- This study investigates adolescent hematocrit and later myocardial infarction risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if hematocrit levels measured during adolescence are associated with myocardial infarction risk later in life.
- To explore the relationship between early-life hematocrit and cardiovascular events.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from 417,099 young Swedish men conscripted between 1969-1978.
- Measured hematocrit during conscription tests.
- Followed the cohort for myocardial infarction events until December 2010 using Cox regression models.
Main Results:
- A total of 9,322 first-time myocardial infarctions were recorded over a median 36-year follow-up.
- Men with hematocrit ≥49% had a 1.4-fold increased risk of myocardial infarction compared to those with hematocrit ≤44%.
- A significant dose-dependent relationship (p<0.001 for trend) was observed, consistent throughout follow-up.
Conclusions:
- Adolescent hematocrit levels are associated with long-term myocardial infarction risk in men, independent of other risk factors.
- Hematocrit measurement in young individuals may enhance future cardiovascular risk stratification.
- Findings suggest incorporating hematocrit into early cardiovascular risk assessment protocols.
Background:
Hematocrit is an independent predictor of cardiovascular risk in middle and old age, but whether hematocrit is also a predictor at younger ages is presently not known. In this study, we examined whether hematocrit measured in adolescence was associated with the risk of myocardial infarction later in life.
Methods:
During Swedish national conscription tests conducted between 1969 and 1978, the hematocrit was measured in 417,099 young Swedish men. The cohort was followed for subsequent myocardial infarction events through December 2010. Associations between hematocrit and myocardial infarction were accessed using Cox regression models.
Results:
During a median follow-up period of 36 years, 9322 first-time myocardial infarctions occurred within the study cohort. After adjusting for relevant confounders and potential risk factors for myocardial infarction, men with a hematocrit≥49% had a 1.4-fold increased risk of myocardial infarction compared with men with a hematocrit≤44%. This relationship was dose dependent (p<0.001 for trend) and remained consistent throughout the follow-up period.
Conclusions:
In this cohort of young Swedish men, hematocrit was associated with the risk of myocardial infarction later in life after controlling for other coronary risk factors. The study findings indicate that hematocrit may aid future risk assessments in young individuals.
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