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Generation of a Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Model in Mice by Repeated Ozone Exposure
08:17

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Published on: August 25, 2017

Ozone exposure-response model for lung function changes: an alternate variability structure.

William F McDonnell1, Paul W Stewart, Marjo V Smith

  • 1William F. McDonnell Consulting , Chapel Hill, NC 27514, USA. McDonnell.William@Earthlink.Net

Inhalation Toxicology
|June 8, 2013
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

A new statistical model improves predictions of human lung function (FEV1) response to ozone. This model better accounts for how individual variability changes with ozone exposure, enhancing air quality risk assessments.

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Health
  • Pulmonary Medicine
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • A statistical model for predicting human forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) response to ozone exposure is foundational for risk assessments.
  • Existing models may have limitations in assumptions regarding intra-subject variability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify alternative assumptions for intra-subject variability in ozone exposure models.
  • To compare the goodness-of-fit of models with different variability structures.

Main Methods:

  • Nonlinear mixed-effects models were fitted to existing data.
  • Goodness-of-fit was assessed using Akaike's Information Criteria (AIC) and graphical analysis.

Main Results:

  • A model assuming intra-subject variability relates to the magnitude of individual response demonstrated a better fit than a model with constant variability.
  • This finding was supported by observed response variability during filtered air and low-level ozone exposures.

Conclusions:

  • An ozone exposure-response model incorporating increasing intra-subject variability with mean FEV1 response offers improved data fit.
  • This refined model may lead to more accurate ambient ozone risk assessments.