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Risk Factors for Complicated Influenza A (H1N1) 2009 Disease in Children
Chia Yin Chong1, Natalie Wh Tan, Anita Menon
1Department of Paediatric Medicine, KK Women's and Children's Hospital, Singapore. Chong.Chia.Yin@kkh.com.sg
Insights
Pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 complicated disease in children was linked to significant comorbidity and being under 2 years old. Prioritizing antiviral treatment for these high-risk groups can help prevent severe outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Singapore reported its first pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 case on May 26, 2009.
- KK Women's and Children's Hospital (KKH) admitted 440 children with confirmed H1N1 by August 3, 2009.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors for complicated pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 in admitted children.
- To inform early treatment strategies during influenza epidemics with limited antiviral resources.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective case-control study of children admitted with H1N1 infection between May 26 and July 19, 2009.
- Cases were differentiated into complicated and non-complicated groups.
- Analysis of independent risk factors using binary logistic regression.
Main Results:
- 143 children analyzed (48 cases, 95 controls).
- Comorbidity (20.3%) and age <2 years (adjusted OR 9.8) were significant risk factors for complicated H1N1 disease.
- Asthma and obesity were the most common comorbidities.
Conclusions:
- In early epidemic stages with low oseltamivir stock, prioritize treatment for children under 2 years old or with significant comorbidity.
- This strategy aims to prevent complicated influenza A (H1N1) 2009 disease.
Introduction:
Singapore had its first case of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 on 26 May 2009. As of 3 August 2009, 440 children with confirmed H1N1were admitted to KK Women's and Children's Hospital (KKH).
Materials And Methods:
This is a retrospective case control study of children admitted from 26 May 2009 to 19 July 2009 with H1N1infection. Cases and controls were first differentiated by whether they were complicated or non-complicated in nature, and subsequently analysed with regards to possible independent risk factors.
Results:
We analysed 143 admitted children; 48 cases and 95 controls (1: 2 ratio). Significant comorbidity was found in 20.3% (n = 29) of patients with the majority having asthma (n = 18, 12.6 %) followed by obesity (n = 7, 4.9%). Binary logistic regression analysis showed risk factors for complicated disease were comorbidity (adjusted OR 6.0, 95% CI, 2.5 to 14.6, P < 0.0001) and age <2 years (adjusted OR 9.8, 95% CI, 2.4 to 40, P = 0.001). Age less than 5 years was not found to be a risk factor.
Conclusion:
In the early stages of an evolving influenza epidemic when oseltamivir stocks are low, oseltamivir treatment for influenza can be streamlined and offered to those at highest risk who are under 2 years old or have significant comorbidity to prevent complicated disease.
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