Pitfalls of predicting complex traits from SNPs
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Updated: May 10, 2026

Candidate Gene Testing in Clinical Cohort Studies with Multiplexed Genotyping and Mass Spectrometry
Published on: June 21, 2018
Naomi R Wray1, Jian Yang, Ben J Hayes
1Queensland Brain Institute, The University of Queensland, QBI Building, St Lucia, Queensland 4071, Australia.
Abstract:
The success of genome-wide association studies (GWASs) has led to increasing interest in making predictions of complex trait phenotypes, including disease, from genotype data. Rigorous assessment of the value of predictors is crucial before implementation. Here we discuss some of the limitations and pitfalls of prediction analysis and show how naive implementations can lead to severe bias and misinterpretation of results.
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