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Long-term risk of recurrent vascular events after young stroke: The FUTURE study
Loes C A Rutten-Jacobs1, Noortje A M Maaijwee, Renate M Arntz
1Department of Neurology, Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical Center, Nijmegen.
Insights
Young stroke survivors face a significant, lifelong risk of recurrent vascular events. This includes stroke, heart attack, and arterial procedures, underscoring the need for ongoing management.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiology
- Vascular Medicine
Background:
- Long-term data on recurrent vascular events following strokes in young adults are scarce.
- Understanding these risks is crucial for effective long-term patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long-term risk of recurrent vascular events in patients who experienced a first-ever stroke at a young age.
- To identify factors associated with recurrent vascular events after young stroke.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 724 patients aged 18-50 with a first-ever transient ischemic attack (TIA), ischemic stroke, or intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).
- Follow-up averaged 9.1 years, assessing recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, arterial revascularization, or composite events.
- Analysis included TOAST subtypes, age, sex, and decennium of inclusion.
Main Results:
- 19.6% of patients experienced at least one recurrent vascular event.
- Cumulative 20-year stroke risk was 17.3% after TIA and 19.4% after ischemic stroke.
- Atherothrombotic, cardioembolic, and lacunar stroke subtypes were associated with increased recurrent stroke risk.
Conclusions:
- Young stroke patients face a substantial and prolonged risk of recurrent vascular events.
- The underlying causes of young stroke contribute to lifelong vascular disease risk.
- Continued monitoring and management are essential for this patient population.
Objective:
Long-term data on recurrent vascular events after young stroke are limited. Our objective was to examine the long-term risk of recurrent vascular events after young stroke.
Methods:
We prospectively included 724 consecutive patients with a first-ever transient ischemic attack (TIA), ischemic stroke, or intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), aged 18 to 50 years, admitted to our hospital between January 1, 1980 and November 1, 2010. Outcomes were (1) stroke; (2) myocardial infarction or cardiac or peripheral arterial revascularization procedures; or (3) composite event of these, whichever occurred first.
Results:
After a mean follow-up of 9.1 years (standard deviation = 8.2, range = 0-31.0), 142 patients (19.6%) had at least 1 recurrent vascular event. Cumulative 20-year risk of stroke was 17.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 9.5-25.1) after TIA, 19.4% (95% [CI] = 14.6-24.3) after ischemic stroke, and 9.8% (95% CI = 1.0-18.7) after ICH. Cumulative 20-year risk of any vascular event was 27.7% (95% CI = 18.5-37.0) after TIA and 32.8% (95% CI = 26.7-38.9) after ischemic stroke. Age and male sex were associated with other arterial events, but not with stroke. Among TOAST (Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment) subtypes, adjusted for age, sex, and decennium of inclusion, atherothrombotic stroke, cardioembolic stroke, and lacunar stroke were associated with recurrent stroke (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.72, 95% CI = 1.34-5.52; HR = 2.49, 95% CI = 1.23-5.07; and HR = 2.92, 95% CI = 1.45-5.88, respectively).
Interpretation:
Patients with young stroke remain at substantial risk of recurrent vascular events for decades, suggesting that the underlying disease that caused stroke at a young age continues to put these patients at a high risk for vascular disease throughout their lives.
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