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Updated: May 10, 2026

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Published on: June 5, 2016
The evolution of error: error management, cognitive constraints, and adaptive decision-making biases
Dominic D P Johnson1, Daniel T Blumstein, James H Fowler
1Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Cognitive biases can improve decision-making by managing errors, particularly when one type of mistake is more costly than another. This error management theory (EMT) explains how biases evolve to optimize decisions under uncertainty.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive psychology
- Evolutionary psychology
- Behavioral economics
Background:
- Decision-making under uncertainty often involves asymmetric costs for different types of errors (e.g., false positives vs. false negatives).
- Biases in behavior or cognition can paradoxically lead to better decision-making by minimizing the impact of more costly errors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose and explain the concept of 'error management' biases.
- To present Error Management Theory (EMT) as a framework for understanding the evolution of cognitive biases.
Main Methods:
- Review and synthesis of interdisciplinary research identifying error management biases.
- Theoretical framework development based on evolutionary and cognitive constraints.
Main Results:
- Error management biases have been independently identified across diverse fields, indicating robustness.
- These biases represent a fundamental aspect of biological and cognitive systems.
- EMT provides a cohesive explanation for the adaptive nature of cognitive biases.
Conclusions:
- Cognitive biases are not always detrimental and can be adaptive mechanisms for managing errors.
- Error management biases play a crucial role in optimizing decision-making in uncertain environments.
- EMT offers a valuable perspective on the evolutionary origins and adaptive functions of cognitive biases.
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