The evolution of error: error management, cognitive constraints, and adaptive decision-making biases

Dominic D P Johnson1, Daniel T Blumstein, James H Fowler

  • 1Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Summary

Cognitive biases can improve decision-making by managing errors, particularly when one type of mistake is more costly than another. This error management theory (EMT) explains how biases evolve to optimize decisions under uncertainty.

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