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Visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability and outcomes in hemodialysis
T I Chang1, J E Flythe, S M Brunelli
1Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Insights
Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (VTV-BPV) increases mortality risk in hemodialysis patients. Higher VTV-BPV was linked to greater all-cause mortality, especially in those with lower baseline systolic blood pressure.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (VTV-BPV) is a known risk factor for adverse outcomes in the general population.
- The prognostic significance of VTV-BPV in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis remains less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between VTV-BPV and clinical outcomes, specifically all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, in patients on hemodialysis.
- To evaluate VTV-BPV using coefficient of variation (CV) and average real variability in systolic blood pressure (SBP).
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from 1844 patients in the National Institutes of Health-sponsored HEMO study with at least three pre-dialysis systolic blood pressure measurements.
- Calculation of VTV-BPV metrics (CV and average real variability) for each patient.
- Survival analysis using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for relevant covariates.
Main Results:
- A 10% increase in VTV-BPV was associated with a 31% higher risk of all-cause mortality in unadjusted models, remaining significant after adjustment.
- A trend towards increased cardiovascular mortality was observed with higher VTV-BPV, though not statistically significant in fully adjusted models.
- The association between VTV-BPV and mortality was influenced by baseline systolic blood pressure, with a stronger effect in patients with lower baseline SBP.
Conclusions:
- Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in hemodialysis patients.
- VTV-BPV may also be associated with cardiovascular mortality, particularly in patients with lower baseline systolic blood pressure.
- These findings highlight the importance of monitoring blood pressure variability in hemodialysis patients for risk stratification.
Abstract:
Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (VTV-BPV) is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular events and death in the general population. We sought to determine the association of VTV-BPV with outcomes in patients on hemodialysis, using data from a National Institutes of Health-sponsored randomized trial (the HEMO study). We used the coefficient of variation (CV) and the average real variability in systolic blood pressure (SBP) as metrics of VTV-BPV. In all, 1844 out of 1846 randomized subjects had at least three visits with SBP measurements and were included in the analysis. Median follow-up was 2.5 years (interquartile range 1.3-4.3 years), during which time there were 869 deaths from any cause and 408 (adjudicated) cardiovascular deaths. The mean pre-dialysis SBP CV was 9.9 ± 4.6%. In unadjusted models, we found a 31% higher risk of death from any cause per 10% increase in VTV-BPV. This association was attenuated after multivariable adjustment but remained statistically significant. Similarly, we found a 28% higher risk of cardiovascular death per 10% increase in VTV-BPV, which was attenuated and no longer statistically significant in fully adjusted models. The associations among VTV-BPV, death and cardiovascular death were modified by baseline SBP. In a diverse, well-dialyzed cohort of patients on maintenance hemodialysis, VTV-BPV, assessed using metrics of variability in pre-dialysis SBP, was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and a trend toward higher risk of cardiovascular mortality, particularly in patients with a lower baseline SBP.
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