Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 10, 2026

Evaluation of Blood Lactate and Plasma Insulin During High-intensity Exercise by Antecubital Vein Catheterization
Published on: May 18, 2018
The association of plasma lactate with incident cardiovascular outcomes: the ARIC Study
Kunihiro Matsushita1, Emma K Williams, Morgana L Mongraw-Chaffin
1Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 N. Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA. kmatsush@jhsph.edu
Insights
High resting plasma lactate levels, indicating lower oxidative capacity, are linked to increased risk of heart failure and all-cause mortality. This study highlights lactate as a potential biomarker for cardiovascular health.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biochemistry
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Plasma lactate is a marker of cellular oxidative capacity.
- Oxidative capacity is crucial for maintaining cardiovascular health.
- Low oxidative capacity may be associated with increased cardiovascular risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between resting plasma lactate levels and incident cardiovascular outcomes.
- To determine if plasma lactate is an independent predictor of coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, and all-cause mortality.
- To explore the role of oxidative capacity, as indicated by plasma lactate, in cardiovascular disease development.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 10,006 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.
- Use of Cox proportional-hazards models to assess hazard ratios for cardiovascular events.
- Stratification of participants into quartiles based on plasma lactate levels.
- Longitudinal follow-up for a median of 10.7 years.
Main Results:
- Elevated plasma lactate levels showed a significant graded association with cardiovascular events in initial analyses.
- After adjusting for confounders, higher lactate remained significantly associated with increased risk of heart failure (HR=1.35) and all-cause mortality (HR=1.27).
- No significant association was found between plasma lactate and incident coronary heart disease or stroke.
Conclusions:
- Resting plasma lactate is an independent predictor of heart failure and all-cause mortality.
- Low resting oxidative capacity, indicated by higher plasma lactate, may play a role in the pathophysiology of heart failure.
- Plasma lactate could serve as a valuable biomarker for assessing cardiovascular risk, particularly for heart failure.
Abstract:
We examined the association of plasma lactate at rest, a marker of oxidative capacity, with incident cardiovascular outcomes in 10,006 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study visit 4 (1996-1998). We used Cox proportional-hazards models to estimate hazard ratios of incident coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, and all-cause mortality by quartiles of plasma lactate (Q1, ≤5.3 mg/dL; Q2, 5.4-6.6; Q3, 6.7-8.6; and Q4 ≥8.7). During a median follow-up time of 10.7 years, there were 1,105 coronary heart disease cases, 379 stroke cases, 820 heart failure cases, and 1,408 deaths. A significant graded relation between lactate level and cardiovascular events was observed in the demographically adjusted model (all P for trend < 0.001). After further adjustment for traditional and other potential confounders, the association remained significant for heart failure (Q4 vs. Q1: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07, 1.71) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.51) (P for trend < 0.02 for these outcomes) but not for coronary heart disease (HR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.84, 1.24) and stroke (HR = 1.26, 95% CI: 0.91, 1.75). The results for heart failure were robust across multiple subgroups, after further adjustment for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and after exclusion of participants with incident heart failure within 3 years. The independent associations of plasma lactate with heart failure and all-cause mortality suggest an important role for low resting oxidative capacity.
Related Concept Videos
Acute Coronary Syndrome III: Diagnostic Studies
Atherosclerosis II: Clinical Manifestations and Diagnostic Tests
Atherosclerosis I: Introduction
Atherosclerosis III: Management
Coronary Artery Disease I: Introduction
Coronary Artery Disease III: Clinical Manifestations
