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Risk factors for need of mechanical ventilation in children with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09
Marcelo C Scotta1, Rita Mattiello, Paulo J C Marostica
1MSc Candidate in Child and Adolescent Health, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS), Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil. Pediatric Infectious Disease's Specialist, Hospital da Criança Santo Antonio, Departamento de Pediatria, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
Insights
Children with chronic diseases or viral co-detection face higher risks of severe outcomes from influenza A(H1N1)pdm09. These factors are critical for identifying at-risk pediatric patients during and after the pandemic.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
- Virology
Background:
- The influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 pandemic significantly impacted children and young adults in Brazil.
- Post-pandemic, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 cases increased during winter months, resembling seasonal influenza patterns.
- Ongoing infections necessitate identifying risk factors for severe outcomes in pediatric populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate risk factors associated with worse outcomes in children hospitalized with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09.
- To identify predictors of severe disease, such as the need for mechanical ventilation, in pediatric patients.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 120 hospitalized children (<14 years) with RT-PCR confirmed influenza A(H1N1)pdm09.
- Data collected from six tertiary centers in Brazil during the first pandemic wave.
- Potential predictors analyzed included age, chronic diseases, co-detections, chest radiograph findings, and oseltamivir use.
Main Results:
- Multivariate analysis revealed chronic diseases as a significant predictor of worse outcomes (PR: 2.613, 95% CI: 1.267-5.386).
- Viral co-detection was also statistically associated with worse outcomes (PR: 2.43, 95% CI: 1.203-4.905).
- Both associations were statistically significant (p<0.05).
Conclusions:
- Chronic diseases are confirmed risk factors for severe influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 outcomes in children.
- Viral co-detection emerges as a novel risk factor for adverse outcomes in this pediatric cohort.
- Further research is warranted to validate the association between viral co-detection and severe influenza.
Objective:
The pandemic caused by influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus peaked between July and August of 2009 in southern Brazil, with the highest incidence in children and young adults. In the post-pandemic period, there was an increase in the incidence of cases during the winter months of 2011 and 2012 in Brazil, similar to seasonal influenza virus. Since infections due to pandemic influenza are still occurring, the present study aimed to investigate the risk factors for worse outcome in children.
Methods:
A retrospective cohort study was performed by reviewing the charts of hospitalized patients younger than 14 years with reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) positive for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 during the first pandemic wave in six Brazilian tertiary centers. Need for mechanical ventilation was defined as the severity of outcome; age, chronic diseases, bacterial and viral co-detection, chest radiograph findings, and use of oseltamivir were possible predictors.
Results:
In the present study, 120 patients were included. In a multivariate analysis, chronic diseases (prevalence ratio: 2.613, 95% CI: 1.267-5.386) and viral co-detection (prevalence ratio: 2.43, 95% CI: 1.203-4.905) were statistically associated with worse outcome (p<0.05).
Conclusions:
The presence of chronic diseases as predictors reinforces previous finding. Furthermore, viral co-detection was found to be a risk factor. Further studies are necessary to confirm this association.
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