IL-6 is a predictive biomarker for stroke associated infection and future mortality in the elderly after an ischemic...

Stroke associated infection (within the first seven days) occurs in approximately half of stroke patients and is associated with a worse prognosis, especially in the elderly. It is uncertain what factors predict stroke associated infection, yet identification of a suitable biomarker for infection may allow early and appropriate intervention with antibiotics. The aims of this study were to: a) identify independent risk factors for stroke associated infection, and b) test relationships between these risk factors and mortality at 2 years.

Eight-two elderly patients were assessed within 72 h of stroke. Data on stroke severity (Barthel Index), stroke associated infection and mortality at 2 years were collected. Inflammatory biomarkers at baseline and 6 months were measured by ELISA. Logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for stroke associated infection and death.

Patients with stroke associated infection, especially pneumonia, had increased IL-6, more severe strokes, and higher mortality. IL-6 was independently associated with stroke associated infection (OR = 19.2, [95%CI 3.68, 100], p < 0.001), after adjustment for other risk factors and cytokines. IL-6 was also independently associated with 2 year mortality (OR = 9.2, [1.0, 85.1], p = 0.031).

These data suggest that IL-6 may be a key biomarker for predicting stroke associated infection and mortality in the first two years post stroke.