[Long-term care in Europe. Challenges and strategies in nursing staff management]

Across Europe, long-term care (LTC) is one of the most challenging areas of social policy. Despite a growing awareness of the problems and improved data, current institutional reforms are an ineffective response to demographic change. This article aims to provide an overview of the challenges of future nursing and care staff in LTC in Europe, and to discuss the German case in a wider European context. We focus on the nursing workforce and on the link between current and prospective analyses on the demand and offer of LTC services and LTC professionals/nursing staff. We draw on a secondary analysis of the literature and public statistics, especially OECD data. The European comparison shows a high variation in the future demand for LTC. In Germany, a number of problematic trends create a negative scenario: the growing demand for LTC meets with a decrease in nursing staff on the supply side. We conclude by suggesting intervention strategies that may reduce this negative scenario.