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Updated: May 9, 2026

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
A socio-technical model to explore urban water systems scenarios
Fjalar J de Haan1, Briony C Ferguson, Ana Deletic
1Department of Civil Engineering, Monash University, Victoria, Australia. fjalar.dehaan@monash.edu
This study introduces a socio-technical model for urban water systems, focusing on social and institutional factors. The model explores future scenarios for water servicing solutions, aiding in understanding system transitions.
Area of Science:
- Urban planning and water management
- Systems theory and modeling
- Social sciences and infrastructure studies
Background:
- Urban water systems involve complex interactions between technical infrastructure and societal factors.
- Existing models often overlook the socio-technical dynamics crucial for system transitions.
- Understanding these dynamics is key to addressing diverse water-related societal needs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and present a socio-technical model for analyzing urban water systems.
- To explore the influence of social and institutional factors on water servicing solutions.
- To generate exploratory scenarios of urban water system development and transitions.
Main Methods:
- Implementation of the Multi-Pattern Approach theory in a software model.
- Parameterization of urban water systems using vectors of servicing solution influence.
- Development of an exploratory model to produce multiple future scenarios from initial conditions.
Main Results:
- The model successfully parameterizes urban water systems based on servicing solution influence.
- Initial tests using a drainage example demonstrate the model's capability to generate diverse scenarios.
- The socio-technical approach highlights the interplay between social dynamics and water infrastructure.
Conclusions:
- The developed socio-technical model offers a novel framework for understanding urban water system evolution.
- The exploratory nature of the model accounts for inherent uncertainties in social dynamics.
- This approach provides valuable insights for planning and managing future urban water services.
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