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Prediction model for low birth weight and its validation
Avantika Singh1, Sugandha Arya, Harish Chellani
1Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, Vardhman Mahavir Medical College and Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi, 110029, India.
Indian Journal of Pediatrics
|August 17, 2013
Summary
Maternal factors like inadequate weight gain and poor diet, alongside a history of preterm or low birth weight (LBW) babies, are key predictors of LBW infants. A validated model can help predict the likelihood of having a LBW baby.
Area of Science:
- Obstetrics and Gynecology
- Neonatal Health
- Public Health
Background:
- Low birth weight (LBW) remains a significant global health concern.
- Identifying risk factors is crucial for targeted interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify factors associated with LBW.
- To develop a predictive scale for LBW infants.
Main Methods:
- Hospital-based case-control study in North India.
- 250 LBW neonates and 250 controls (birth weight ≥2,500 g).
- Data collected via maternal interviews and hospital records.
Main Results:
- Significant LBW predictors: inadequate maternal weight gain (<8.9 kg), low protein intake (<47 g/d), previous preterm/LBW baby, maternal anemia, passive smoking.
- Prediction model achieved 71.6% sensitivity and 67.0% specificity, validated at 72% sensitivity and 64% specificity.
Conclusions:
- A predictive model based on identified risk factors can effectively estimate the probability of LBW.
- This tool can aid in early identification and intervention strategies.
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