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Published on: August 7, 2017
Spatiotemporal patterns of infant bronchiolitis in a Tennessee Medicaid population
Chantel D Sloan1, Tebeb Gebretsadik, Pingsheng Wu
1Vanderbilt Center for Asthma & Environmental Health Sciences Research, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, United States.
Insights
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes infant bronchiolitis epidemics that vary seasonally and geographically. This study found distinct timing patterns for RSV in East and Central Tennessee, highlighting the need for localized epidemic modeling.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Pediatrics
Background:
- Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of infant morbidity and mortality globally, primarily manifesting as bronchiolitis.
- RSV epidemics exhibit significant seasonality, typically occurring during winter months in the Northern Hemisphere.
- The spatiotemporal dynamics of RSV epidemics show considerable variation within regions, including the United States.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze spatiotemporal patterns of infant bronchiolitis clusters.
- To identify variations in the timing of RSV epidemics within Tennessee using a large Medicaid cohort.
- To inform future RSV epidemic modeling by considering local factors.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a retrospective space–time scan statistic analysis.
- Examined a cohort of 52,468 infants (<6 months old) with outpatient, emergency department, or hospitalization records for bronchiolitis.
- Data spanned from 1995 to 2008 within the Tennessee Medicaid population.
Main Results:
- Identified distinct spatiotemporal clustering patterns of infant bronchiolitis.
- Eastern Tennessee (Knoxville area) exhibited RSV epidemic clustering in January and February.
- Central Tennessee (Nashville area) showed RSV epidemic clustering in November and December.
Conclusions:
- RSV epidemic timing demonstrates consistent geographical variations within Tennessee.
- Local geographical factors likely influence the observed differences in epidemic timing.
- Future RSV epidemic modeling should incorporate these region-specific temporal dynamics.
Abstract:
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of worldwide morbidity and mortality in infants, primarily through the induction of bronchiolitis. RSV epidemics are highly seasonal, occurring in the winter months in the northern hemisphere. Within the United States, RSV epidemic dynamics vary both spatially and temporally. This analysis employs a retrospective space–time scan statistic to locate spatiotemporal clustering of infant bronchiolitis in a very large Tennessee (TN) Medicaid cohort. We studied infants less than 6 months of age (N = 52,468 infants) who had an outpatient visit, emergency department visit, or hospitalization for bronchiolitis between 1995 and 2008. The scan statistic revealed distinctive and consistent patterns of deviation in epidemic timing. Eastern TN (Knoxville area) showed clustering in January and February, and Central TN (Nashville area) in November and December. This is likely due to local variation in geography-associated factors which should be taken into consideration in future modeling of RSV epidemics.
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