Regulatory Forum commentary: alternative mouse models for future cancer risk assessment
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Updated: May 8, 2026

A Genetically Engineered Mouse Model of Sporadic Colorectal Cancer
Published on: July 6, 2017
Daniel Morton1, Frank D Sistare2, Prashant R Nambiar3
1Pfizer, Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA dan.g.morton@pfizer.com.
Abstract:
International regulatory and pharmaceutical industry scientists are discussing revision of the International Conference on Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Registration of Pharmaceuticals for Human Use (ICH) S1 guidance on rodent carcinogenicity assessment of small molecule pharmaceuticals. A weight-of-evidence approach is proposed to determine the need for rodent carcinogenicity studies. For compounds with high human cancer risk, the product may be labeled appropriately without conducting rodent carcinogenicity studies. For compounds with minimal cancer risk, only a 6-month transgenic mouse study (rasH2 mouse or p53+/- mouse) or a 2-year mouse study would be needed. If rodent carcinogenicity testing may add significant value to cancer risk assessment, a 2-year rat study and either a 6-month transgenic mouse or a 2-year mouse study is appropriate. In many cases, therefore, one rodent carcinogenicity study could be sufficient. The rasH2 model predicts neoplastic findings relevant to human cancer risk assessment as well as 2-year rodent models, produces fewer irrelevant neoplastic outcomes, and often will be preferable to a 2-year rodent study. Before revising ICH S1 guidance, a prospective evaluation will be conducted to test the proposed weight-of-evidence approach. This evaluation offers an opportunity for a secondary analysis comparing the value of alternative mouse models and 2-year rodent studies in the proposed ICH S1 weight-of-evidence approach for human cancer risk assessment.
Insights
Scientists are revising International Council for Harmonisation (ICH) S1 guidance for carcinogenicity studies. A weight-of-evidence approach may reduce the need for rodent testing, potentially using shorter mouse studies for human cancer risk assessment.
Area of Science:
- Pharmaceutical sciences
- Toxicology
- Regulatory affairs
Background:
- Current International Council for Harmonisation (ICH) S1 guidance mandates extensive rodent carcinogenicity studies for pharmaceuticals.
- There is a growing need to optimize drug development timelines and reduce animal testing.
- Advancements in predictive toxicology offer alternative approaches to traditional long-term studies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To discuss proposed revisions to ICH S1 guidance regarding rodent carcinogenicity assessment for small molecule pharmaceuticals.
- To introduce a weight-of-evidence approach for determining the necessity of carcinogenicity studies.
- To evaluate the utility of alternative models like the rasH2 mouse in cancer risk assessment.
Main Methods:
- Discussion and proposal of a weight-of-evidence framework for carcinogenicity study decisions.
- Consideration of specific scenarios based on human cancer risk levels.
- Evaluation of 6-month transgenic mouse models (rasH2, p53+/-) and 2-year mouse/rat studies.
- Planning for a prospective evaluation of the proposed approach.
Main Results:
- A weight-of-evidence approach could streamline carcinogenicity assessment, potentially reducing the number of required studies.
- Compounds with high or minimal human cancer risk may bypass certain traditional rodent studies.
- The rasH2 mouse model shows promise for predicting relevant neoplastic findings with fewer irrelevant outcomes compared to 2-year rodent models.
Conclusions:
- The proposed revisions aim to make carcinogenicity testing more efficient and relevant.
- Alternative mouse models may offer valuable insights into human cancer risk assessment.
- A prospective evaluation is crucial to validate the proposed weight-of-evidence approach before revising ICH S1 guidance.
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