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Updated: May 8, 2026

Predicting Amputation using Local Circulating Mononuclear Progenitor Cells in Angioplasty-treated Patients with Critical Limb Ischemia
Published on: September 22, 2020
Optimal medical therapy predicts amputation-free survival in chronic critical limb ischemia
Jayer Chung1, David A Timaran, J Gregory Modrall
1Division of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Tex.
Insights
Less than one-third of critical limb ischemia patients receive optimal medical management. Undertreated patients face an eight-fold increased risk of major amputation or death, highlighting the need for improved adherence to guidelines.
Area of Science:
- Vascular Surgery
- Cardiology
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Chronic critical limb ischemia (CLI) management guidelines emphasize optimizing atherosclerotic risk factors.
- Suboptimal medical management is a significant concern in patients with CLI.
- The impact of baseline medical management quality on amputation-free survival (AFS) requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the proportion of CLI patients not adhering to Trans-Atlantic Inter-Society Consensus II guidelines for medical therapy.
- To quantify the effect of suboptimal baseline medical management on amputation-free survival (AFS).
- To identify key predictors of major amputation or death in CLI patients.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database of 98 CLI patients.
- Primary outcome was amputation-free survival (AFS).
- Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model used to assess predictors including demographics, comorbidities, ambulatory status, medical management, and Rutherford classification.
Main Results:
- Only 32% of patients presented with optimally managed risk factors.
- Suboptimal medical management was independently associated with an eight-fold increased risk of major amputation or death (HR, 8.54; P < .01).
- Nonambulatory status and unrevascularized status were also significant independent predictors of adverse outcomes.
Conclusions:
- A significant proportion of CLI patients are undertreated, failing to meet guideline recommendations for risk factor optimization.
- Suboptimal medical management is a powerful predictor of major amputation and/or death in CLI patients.
- Future research and quality assessments should stratify outcomes by medical management quality, emphasizing its modifiable impact.
Objective:
Determine the proportion of patients with chronic critical limb ischemia (CLI) who failed to adhere to Trans-Atlantic Inter-Society Consensus II guidelines of medical therapy and to quantify the effect of baseline suboptimal medical management on amputation-free survival (AFS).
Methods:
The patients were identified from a prospectively maintained database of consecutive patients presenting with CLI to the Vascular Surgery service at a single hospital. The primary outcome variable was AFS. The effects of baseline demographics, comorbid medical conditions, ambulatory status, optimal medical management, and Rutherford classification were assessed. Significant univariate predictors (P < .10) of AFS were entered into a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.
Results:
From August 1, 2010 through January 1, 2012, 98 patients (median age, 59.0; interquartile range, 53, 64 years; 58 men) were evaluated with rest pain (n = 40) or tissue loss (n = 58). Optimal medical management was identified in 31 (32%) patients at initial presentation. Compliance rates for the entire cohort were 61% for statin use, 69% for antiplatelet therapy, 56% for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor use, and 53% for beta-blocker use. Significant univariate predictors of major amputation or death included: Rutherford classification (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.41; P = .04); nonambulatory status (HR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.68-2.81; P < .01); unrevascularized patients (HR, 2.77; 95% CI, 1.32-5.85; P < .01); a history of tobacco abuse (HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 0.57-3.86; P = .09); a history of end-stage-renal disease (HR, 7.97; 95% CI, 3.10-20.52; P < .01); suboptimal medical management (HR, 4.25; 95% CI, 1.28-14.07; P = .02); and an absence of antiplatelet agents (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 0.92-4.11; P = .08). Independent predictors of major amputation or death included: initial nonambulatory status (HR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.03-2.05; P < .01); unrevascularized status (HR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.76-3.34; P = .01); and suboptimal medical management at presentation (HR, 8.54; 95% CI, 2.05-35.65; P < .01).
Conclusions:
Despite guidelines advocating the optimization of atherosclerotic risk factors, less than one-third of patients with CLI present with their risk factors optimally managed. Patients who are medically undertreated have an eight-fold risk of major amputation and/or death. The magnitude of the effect suggests that future trials and quality assessments should stratify outcomes by the quality of baseline medical management. Of the risk factors affecting AFS medical therapy optimization is the variable that can be most significantly improved by vascular surgeons and the medical community.
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