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MELD predicts mortality in conservatively managed pneumatosis intestinalis in cirrhotics
John Pang1, Farah Karipineni, Afshin Parsikia
1Department of Surgery, 5501 Old York Rd, Philadelphia, PA 19141, USA.
Abstract:
Pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) is a radiologic finding associated with multiple conditions and a high mortality rate (33-40%, 1-3). The current literature addressing PI is limited to an unselected population. This is the first study addressing the management of PI in cirrhotics, a population in which surgical intervention is particularly risky. While nonoperative management is acceptable in the general population, it is unknown whether the same is true when managing patients with underlying cirrhosis. We retrospectively identified cases of PI found on computed tomography (CT) scans performed on cirrhotics from 2004 to 2011. Chart review included comorbidities, hospital course, serum lactate levels, APACHE scores and MELD scores. Nine cirrhotics with PI were identified. Eight were managed conservatively. One patient with MELD score of 18 underwent exploration and died. In total, six patients died. The mean MELD score in patients who died was higher than in those who survived (28 vs. 14). Mortality was 100% in cirrhotic patients with PI whose MELD was greater than 16. Mean lactate levels (33 mg/dL vs. 21 mg/dL) and mean APACHE scores (28 vs. 15) were also higher in those who died. Serum bicarbonate levels and white blood cell counts were not consistently elevated. Our results suggest that the MELD score is an important predictor of mortality in cirrhotics with PI. Serum lactate and APACHE scores are also important markers. Larger studies are required to determine whether there is a role for operative management in cirrhotic patients with a MELD lower than 16.
Insights
Pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) in cirrhotic patients is highly fatal. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, serum lactate, and APACHE scores predict mortality, suggesting conservative management may be safer for most cirrhotics with PI.
Area of Science:
- Gastroenterology
- Radiology
- Hepatology
Background:
- Pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) is a concerning radiologic finding with high mortality.
- Existing literature on PI management lacks focus on cirrhotic patients, a high-risk group for surgical intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the management and outcomes of pneumatosis intestinalis in patients with cirrhosis.
- To identify predictors of mortality in cirrhotic patients diagnosed with PI.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of cirrhotic patients with PI identified via CT scans from 2004-2011.
- Analysis of comorbidities, hospital course, serum lactate, APACHE, and MELD scores.
Main Results:
- Eight of nine cirrhotic patients with PI were managed conservatively; one underwent surgery and died.
- Mortality was 100% in patients with a MELD score > 16.
- Higher MELD, lactate, and APACHE scores were associated with increased mortality.
Conclusions:
- MELD score is a critical predictor of mortality in cirrhotics with PI.
- Serum lactate and APACHE scores also indicate poor prognosis.
- Further research is needed to define the role of operative management in select cirrhotic patients with PI and lower MELD scores.
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