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Updated: May 8, 2026

Preparation of Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cell Pellets and Plasma from a Single Blood Draw at Clinical Trial Sites for Biomarker Analysis
Published on: March 20, 2021
The interaction between prognostic and pharmacodynamic biomarkers.
L Bouranis1, M Sperrin, A Greystoke
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Fylde College, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
This study introduces a new framework for analyzing biomarker interactions. It demonstrates how certain biomarkers can have both prognostic and pharmacodynamic (PD) effects in cancer patients.
Area of Science:
- Biomarker discovery and validation
- Translational oncology research
- Statistical modeling in clinical trials
Background:
- Interactions between prognostic and pharmacodynamic (PD) biomarkers are understudied.
- Understanding these interactions is crucial for personalized cancer therapy.
- Cytokeratin 18 (CK18) is a potential biomarker in metastatic colorectal cancer.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate statistical models for assessing prognostic and PD biomarker interactions.
- To investigate the dual prognostic and PD characteristics of circulating cytokeratin 18 (CK18) in metastatic colorectal cancer patients.
- To provide a framework for analyzing longitudinal biomarker data.
Main Methods:
- Utilized linear mixed-effects models to analyze published longitudinal data.
- Assessed prognostic and PD utilities of circulating caspase-cleaved (ctCK18) and total (tCK18) cytokeratin 18.
- Data from 57 patients with metastatic colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy were analyzed.
Main Results:
- The statistical model successfully separated the prognostic/PD interaction from the pure prognostic effect for total CK18 (tCK18).
- This finding illustrates the principle of dual prognostic and PD characteristics for a single biomarker.
- The model for cleaved CK18 (ctCK18) did not show this separation.
Conclusions:
- Developed statistical models offer a framework for analyzing longitudinal data to detect prognostic/PD biomarker interactions.
- These models enhance the interpretation of biomarker data in clinical settings.
- The findings support the potential of CK18 as a biomarker with dual prognostic and PD roles.
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