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Related Experiment Video

Updated: May 7, 2026

Use of the EpiAirway Model for Characterizing Long-term Host-pathogen Interactions
08:12

Use of the EpiAirway Model for Characterizing Long-term Host-pathogen Interactions

Published on: September 2, 2011

Complex dynamics in an eco-epidemiological model.

Andrew M Bate1, Frank M Hilker

  • 1Centre for Mathematical Biology, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Bath, BA2 7AY, UK, A.M.Bate@bath.ac.uk.

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
|September 19, 2013
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Infectious diseases in predator populations introduce complex ecological dynamics, including bistability and tristability, even when disease spread is limited. These disease-induced shifts can alter ecosystem stability and may lead to irreversible changes.

Related Experiment Videos

Last Updated: May 7, 2026

Use of the EpiAirway Model for Characterizing Long-term Host-pathogen Interactions
08:12

Use of the EpiAirway Model for Characterizing Long-term Host-pathogen Interactions

Published on: September 2, 2011

Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Epidemiology
  • Mathematical Biology

Background:

  • Infectious diseases can significantly alter ecological system dynamics.
  • Predator-prey models are crucial for understanding ecosystem stability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the complex dynamics introduced by an SI-type disease in the predator population of a Rosenzweig-MacArthur model.
  • To explore the impact of disease on ecological stability and regime shifts.

Main Methods:

  • Numerical solutions of the Rosenzweig-MacArthur model with an SI-type predator disease.
  • Analysis of bifurcations, periodic solutions, and chaotic dynamics.

Main Results:

  • Identified saddle-node and subcritical Hopf bifurcations, period-doubling cascades to chaos.
  • Observed bistability and tristability, including endemic tori, equilibria, and disease-free limit cycles.
  • Discovered complex dynamics occurring even when the basic reproduction number is less than one.

Conclusions:

  • Infectious diseases can introduce novel and complex dynamics into predator-prey systems.
  • Multistability makes the eco-epidemic system highly sensitive to perturbations, potentially causing irreversible regime shifts.
  • Disease can stabilize or destabilize ecosystems, leading to unexpected outcomes.