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Updated: May 7, 2026

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
12:44

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

Published on: July 24, 2016

Risk-based principles for defining and managing water security.

Jim Hall1, Edoardo Borgomeo

  • 1Environmental Change Institute, , University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Philosophical Transactions. Series A, Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences
|October 2, 2013
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study explores using risk management principles to address water security challenges like scarcity and floods. It highlights how this approach can better manage uncertainties and trade-offs in water resource planning.

Keywords:
decisionexposurehazardriskvulnerabilitywater security

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Water Resource Management
  • Risk Analysis

Background:

  • Water security encompasses human and natural systems, addressing scarcity, floods, and water quality issues.
  • Risk management principles are widely used in public policy but have limitations with severe uncertainties and contested values.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To explore the applicability of risk-based principles for formalizing discussions on water security.
  • To assess how risk concepts can address inherent variability in water systems.
  • To demonstrate improved water resource planning by accounting for uncertainties and actor-specific risks.

Main Methods:

  • Conceptual exploration of risk-based principles in water security.
  • Simulation study to illustrate interconnections between risk, uncertainty, and water systems.
  • Analysis of epistemic uncertainties, risk tolerability, and inter-actor risk trade-offs.

Main Results:

  • Risk concepts offer a normative framework and explicit means to address variability in water systems.
  • Simulation demonstrates how to integrate epistemic uncertainties and risk trade-offs into planning.
  • Water resource planning can be enhanced by explicitly considering risk and its distribution.

Conclusions:

  • Risk-based principles provide a valuable framework for understanding and managing water security.
  • Accounting for uncertainties and diverse actor perspectives is crucial for effective water resource management.
  • Simulation modeling aids in visualizing and addressing complex risk dynamics in water systems.