Calcification as a risk factor for rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysm

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a major cause of death in developed countries. The AAA diameter is still the only validated prognostic measure for rupture, and therapeutic interventions are initiated accordingly. This still leads to unnecessary interventions in some cases or unidentified impending ruptures. Vascular calcification has been validated abundantly as a risk factor in the cardiovascular field and may strengthen the rupture risk assessment of the AAA. With this study we aim to assess the correlation between AAA calcification and rupture risk in a retrospective unmatched case-control population.

A database of 334 AAA patients was evaluated. Three groups were formed: elective (eAAA; n = 233), ruptured (rAAA; n = 73) and symptomatic non-ruptured (sAAA; n = 28) AAA patients. The Abdominal Aortic Calcification-8 score (AAC-8) was used to measure the severity of vascular calcification.

The AAA diameter (61 ± 12 mm vs. 74 ± 21 mm; p < .001) and AAC-8 score (3.4 ± 2 points vs. 4.9 ± 2.3 points; p < .001) of the eAAA and the combined rAAA and sAAA groups, respectively, were significantly different after univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that larger AAA diameter (odds ratio [OR]: 1.048/mm increase; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.042-1.082; p < .001) and a higher AAC-8 score (OR: 1.34/point increase; 95% CI: 1.19-1.53; p < .001) were significantly associated with development into a sAAA or rAAA. Peripheral artery disease was significantly correlated to eventual elective treatment (OR: 0.39; 95% CI: .15-1; p = .049).

This study suggests a trend of an increased degree of calcification in symptomatic or even ruptured AAA patients compared with elective AAA patients.