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Computational methods for a class of network models.

Junshan Wang1, Ajay Jasra, Maria De Iorio

  • 11 Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, National University of Singapore , Singapore, SG.

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Summary
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We developed computational methods for network model parameter inference, improving upon importance sampling (IS) with sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) for more stable likelihood estimation in complex network models.

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Area of Science:

  • Computational Statistics
  • Network Science
  • Statistical Modeling

Background:

  • Parameter inference in network models is computationally challenging.
  • The duplication attachment model's likelihood function is often intractable.
  • Existing methods like importance sampling (IS) suffer from high variance.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop exact computational methods for parameter inference in partially observed network models.
  • To address the computational intractability of likelihood evaluation for the duplication attachment model.
  • To propose more stable and efficient approximation methods for likelihood estimation.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for approximating network model likelihoods.
  • Proved that SMC methods exhibit polynomial, not exponential, growth in relative variance.
  • Developed particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) algorithms for Bayesian inference.

Main Results:

  • SMC methods offer significant improvements in variance compared to IS for likelihood approximation.
  • pMCMC algorithms effectively perform Bayesian parameter estimation using SMC.
  • Numerical illustrations demonstrate the practical applicability of the developed approaches.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed SMC and pMCMC methods provide efficient and stable computational tools for network model analysis.
  • These methods overcome limitations of traditional importance sampling techniques.
  • The study advances the field of statistical inference for complex network structures.